{
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    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTH44D6R59",
  "slug": "claudia-sheinbaum-out-as-president-of-mexico-by-june-30",
  "question": "Will Claudia Sheinbaum be out as President of Mexico in 2026? (multi-deadline series)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "mexico",
    "presidential-succession",
    "2026",
    "executive-removal"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Claudia Sheinbaum exits the Mexican presidency before sequential deadlines in 2026. Each contract is a binary, with strike dates of January 31, June 30, July 31, and December 31; earlier contracts imply higher conditional probability thresholds than later ones. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using official Mexican government announcements or credible news consensus. The December 31 contract functions as the broadest annual binary, anchoring the term structure.",
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
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      "question": "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by July 31?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "July 31, 2026: Official announcements from the named candidate or Mexican government, or credible news consensus, determine whether the referenced office holder ceases serving by July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T06:23:27Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "source": null,
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      "question": "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Official announcements from the named candidate or Mexican government, or credible news consensus, determine whether the referenced office holder ceases serving by July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:49:34Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 205101.42884399978,
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      "tags": [
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      "platform_market_id": "0x666f9860a63f6eecd02aaa0e1df3597426b66796c4ba6368f481928a47eb83a0",
      "question": "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by January 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "January 31, 2026: Official announcements from the named candidate or Mexican government, or credible news consensus, determine whether the referenced office holder ceases serving by July 1, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-01-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-02-01T08:10:34Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
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        "source": null,
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YV6NMZX1F2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-HTH44D6R59",
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      "question": "Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if Claudia Sheinbaum ceases to be President of Mexico for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nAn announcement of Claudia Sheinbaum's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to \"Yes\", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be official information from Claudia Sheinbaum and the government of Mexico; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
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}