{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J3WNS9ZKL4",
  "slug": "coca-cola-ko-q2-global-unit-case-volume-growth-20260708225258638",
  "question": "Will Coca-Cola (KO) achieve positive global unit case volume growth in Q2?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "earnings-metrics",
    "beverage-industry",
    "volume-growth",
    "quarterly-earnings"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Coca-Cola's Q2 2026 global unit case volume growth rate, reported in official earnings materials. Five mutually exclusive Polymarket tiers span below 3.5% to 6.5% and above, forming a discrete probability distribution over the growth outcome. Together, the tier probabilities sum to one, letting traders express precise views on the magnitude of volume growth. All five resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Coca-Cola's official Q2 2026 earnings disclosure, due July 28, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-B0NWL45RH2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.83,
    "implied_probability": 0.83
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J3WNS9ZKL4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x67c6e2c87b327da263b3944693fdc30f45f5956c7ab3e57ea4e81df975a2db4d",
      "question": "Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<3.5%: Coca-Cola's official Q2 2026 earnings materials, released by the deadline of July 28, 2026, will determine whether the named company's global unit case volume growth meets the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.83,
      "implied_probability": 0.83,
      "volume_24h_usd": 303.23,
      "volume_total_usd": 3613.8790849999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-69223BFBAC",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "earnings",
        "ko",
        "q2",
        "volume"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J3WNS9ZKL4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6ea0bf7c3026eaaec8fc54ba580aefe8c4a1394dfa6330e79c569c30b5f68d4a",
      "question": "Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 3.5%-4.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3.5%-4.5%: Coca-Cola's official Q2 2026 earnings materials, released by the deadline of July 28, 2026, will determine whether the named company's global unit case volume growth meets the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1717.7799999999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 3280.8570319999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-83088D44BE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "coca cola global",
        "earnings",
        "ko",
        "q2",
        "volume"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KQJCLN4GH7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J3WNS9ZKL4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0d62330304c2369ef67aa86e9cdebcf3081f1b84d442ec568090fc4830437346",
      "question": "Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 4.5%-5.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "4.5%-5.5%: Coca-Cola's official Q2 2026 earnings materials, released by the deadline of July 28, 2026, will determine whether the named company's global unit case volume growth meets the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.06,
      "implied_probability": 0.06,
      "volume_24h_usd": 281.380181,
      "volume_total_usd": 1833.221243,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 4.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-83088D44BE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "earnings",
        "ko",
        "q2",
        "volume"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GH93KKD782",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J3WNS9ZKL4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaef07e6ea2f1f407a7f9e54b296c728623af84c9be0421a0348778f09a0add4b",
      "question": "Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 5.5%-6.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "5.5%-6.5%: Coca-Cola's official Q2 2026 earnings materials, released by the deadline of July 28, 2026, will determine whether the named company's global unit case volume growth meets the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the specified company's official earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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      "question": "Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth 6.5%+?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to Coca-Cola's global unit case volume growth (year-over-year) for the upcoming second fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "6.5%+: Coca-Cola's official Q2 2026 earnings materials, released by the deadline of July 28, 2026, will determine whether the named company's global unit case volume growth meets the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T13:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 281.359799,
      "volume_total_usd": 827.762402,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 6.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-DC798EF0E0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "q2",
        "volume"
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