{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C147QKW4C4",
  "slug": "colombia-presidential-election-runoff-turnout-20260604201936978",
  "question": "Will turnout in the Colombia presidential election runoff exceed 50%?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "colombia",
    "voter-turnout",
    "2026",
    "latin-america"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track official voter turnout in the 2026 Colombian presidential election runoff. Polymarket structures the event across five discrete turnout tiers: below 52%, 52-56%, 56-60%, 60-64%, and 64% or above. Each tier is a mutually exclusive binary, together spanning the full turnout distribution. Resolution depends on the Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil's official reported rate, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-TQP1XYW586",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0LZM56GLG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C147QKW4C4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa93af420a86d913fd898a06ace2b5b91cd6ddfb87db5fd86d7ad2e8286970da6",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be <52% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
      "description": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<52%: The Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil reports the official voter turnout rate for the referenced election's second round by June 22, 2026, 3:59 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "registraduria.gov.co",
            "url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombian government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 147.5,
      "volume_total_usd": 822.7339,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 52,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colombia",
        "colombia presidential runoff",
        "election",
        "turnout"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z0LVLKW8D6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C147QKW4C4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3aeac96876e9ac27be1cc5868dcd2544cc74f686f25ba28dcb87d2e571788669",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be 52-56% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
      "description": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "52-56%: The Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil reports the official voter turnout rate for the referenced election's second round by June 22, 2026, 3:59 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "registraduria.gov.co",
            "url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombian government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 172,
      "volume_total_usd": 667.489008,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 52,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colombia",
        "colombia presidential runoff",
        "election",
        "turnout"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NRSMD38HF7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C147QKW4C4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa5b0472880cee019caf1e54155820df1617d2fdd9fd6a10a4de4d5da57b7c914",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
      "description": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "56-60%: The Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil reports the official voter turnout rate for the referenced election's second round by June 22, 2026, 3:59 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "registraduria.gov.co",
            "url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombian government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 207.132854,
      "volume_total_usd": 2890.7088880000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 56,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colombia",
        "colombia presidential runoff",
        "election",
        "turnout"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQP1XYW586",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C147QKW4C4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbac6f5b629e309295f8d7bafcbf5db202b191013fda1362fbb5944937e042f64",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
      "description": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-64%: The Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil reports the official voter turnout rate for the referenced election's second round by June 22, 2026, 3:59 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "registraduria.gov.co",
            "url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombian government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 405,
      "volume_total_usd": 5609.383898000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colombia",
        "colombia presidential runoff",
        "election",
        "turnout"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDFSFSS191",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C147QKW4C4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc877870113e1be940140e51c9ddb12a683843b969073224887e82588ded55e56",
      "question": "Will voter turnout be 64%+ in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?",
      "description": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "64%+: The Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil reports the official voter turnout rate for the referenced election's second round by June 22, 2026, 3:59 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-22T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election is currently scheduled for June 21, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.\n\nIf the results of this election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "registraduria.gov.co",
            "url": "https://registraduria.gov.co",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombian government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Colombian government, including Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 450.54833199999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 3313.0239569999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 64,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2026",
        "colombia",
        "colombia presidential runoff",
        "election",
        "turnout"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TQP1XYW586",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T00:44:32Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NRSMD38HF7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-26T00:14:34Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0LZM56GLG4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-25T22:04:02Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Z0LVLKW8D6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-25T22:04:02Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PDFSFSS191",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-25T22:04:02Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C147QKW4C4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}