{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PB2TWNBNL3",
  "slug": "congress-approves-iran-deal-in-2026-20260616005217959",
  "question": "Will Congress approve an Iran deal by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "iran-nuclear-deal",
    "us-congress",
    "trump",
    "foreign-policy",
    "2027"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether the U.S. Congress will pass legislation approving an Iran nuclear or diplomatic agreement in 2026. The single Polymarket contract resolves based on Congressional passage of a qualifying bill, joint resolution, or Senate resolution. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol, referencing official Congressional action as the authoritative source. The market closes and resolves at the end of 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-WD64DWDMT4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.08,
    "implied_probability": 0.08
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WD64DWDMT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PB2TWNBNL3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0665610d8a06655edb83376e45fd8d2dd78889d2b3a1b2668efe398514cf87ae",
      "question": "Congress approves Iran deal in 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes\" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the United St",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The United States Congress's passage of a qualifying bill, joint resolution, or Senate resolution approving an Iran agreement, as recorded on Congress.gov by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T04:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes\" if the United States Congress passes a qualifying bill or resolution which, by its operative text, expresses approval regarding an agreement where the Islamic Republic of Iran and the United States are both parties by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying bill or resolution must be a bill or joint resolution passed identically in both chambers, or a Senate resolution giving advice and consent to a treaty submitted by the President.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be information from the United States Congress (https://congress.gov); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://congress.gov",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "congress.gov",
            "url": "https://congress.gov",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "United States Congress (https://congress.gov)",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "a consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "congress.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.08,
      "implied_probability": 0.08,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 12346.972077,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "congress",
        "diplomacy",
        "geopolitics",
        "iran",
        "iran nuclear deal"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-PB2TWNBNL3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}