{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8Z421V266",
  "slug": "connecticut-governor-democratic-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Connecticut Governor Democratic Primary be won by a specific Democratic candidate by August 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "us-governors",
    "connecticut",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Connecticut Democratic gubernatorial primary on August 11, 2026. Named candidates include incumbent Ned Lamont and challenger Josh Elliott; remaining contracts cover unlisted entrants. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Connecticut Democratic Party's official results. Probabilities across named candidates must sum to one, making relative pricing a direct implied field.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y10GW9LXL4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.96,
    "implied_probability": 0.96
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JBSGQ4VSX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8Z421V266",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x29271437572fd58353539701b2f2d7717cb27098be8f2d61ac68097ee1a904e2",
      "question": "Will Josh Elliott win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Josh Elliott: The Connecticut Democratic Party's official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.029,
      "implied_probability": 0.029,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 14720.340114999997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8Z421V266",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x08e4cea3c55ded3bb7d1ab771bb6c14d3963fac75fefd5b59c4f52dce6019a62",
      "question": "Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ned Lamont: The Connecticut Democratic Party's official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.96,
      "implied_probability": 0.96,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 21572.123260000008,
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      "platform_market_id": "0x61cf0f1b8db6aa362710487c472ecd618286e73e1b97f2f77ed859603282be42",
      "question": "Will another candidate win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Other: The Connecticut Democratic Party's official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1YLTWBRM91",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8Z421V266",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb9a23d6780e4401020f56f0f0326d7b98fb122aa76d6b818123146e0a769cf10",
      "question": "Will Candidate A win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PLK6CL5848",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8Z421V266",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeb6007f92e3470441926852a969ebfa08e777af2d98731f426bba473d6f487c0",
      "question": "Will Candidate B win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate B: The Connecticut Democratic Party's official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "caps": [],
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      "platform_market_id": "0xccf32eab3f2b0e19e41e4aef39bdb8cf2479bf2830ce33e2a3ebd14dd0866345",
      "question": "Will Candidate C win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate C: The Connecticut Democratic Party's official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
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        "caps": [],
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C08TL8JTQ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8Z421V266",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb167bcf222e2a607e45b6717dfb1f6cdc92ea0b16ee785f44bf1169219ee9c3a",
      "question": "Will Candidate D win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: The Connecticut Democratic Party's official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KVD7KKZKX1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8Z421V266",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x80abbc7724f25a9299b494a255cb35b069b034322491992d3d02adc7911c8353",
      "question": "Will Candidate E win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate E: The Connecticut Democratic Party's official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Connecticut Democratic Party",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C5LR332252",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8Z421V266",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9b7b4937451d29e1ee6b3c16df135439134154eff1cbe82d32b6ec7e45eaf129",
      "question": "Will Candidate F win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate F: The Connecticut Democratic Party's official primary results announcement on August 11, 2026, or overwhelming consensus of credible reporting thereof, determines the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Connecticut, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.\n\nIf no 2026 Connecticut Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Connecticut Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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