{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-B9JZW4XFG1",
  "slug": "consensys-ipo-closing-market-cap-above",
  "question": "Will ConsenSys have a market cap above ___ at IPO closing?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ipo",
    "consensys",
    "market-cap",
    "2027",
    "web3-infrastructure"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the closing market cap of Consensys on its IPO's first trading day, resolving by January 2027. All three are Polymarket binary contracts structured as ascending strike thresholds at $1B, $2B, and $3B. Higher-strike contracts are subsets of lower-strike ones, creating an implied probability ladder across the three levels. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, sourced from the primary listing exchange's official closing price and outstanding shares data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-SRVR94DZ67",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.13,
    "implied_probability": 0.13
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SRVR94DZ67",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B9JZW4XFG1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1c6aef506c1bd3e528026c1bf42dcc9b04b1a26aaec98980d954e220a122748b",
      "question": "Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The primary exchange's official listing page for Consensys' first trading day closing share price and outstanding shares on or before December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2.22,
      "volume_total_usd": 256623.56547099995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4A76182F94",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "consensys",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XM8K0PWZX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B9JZW4XFG1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xef93ec46a1b11e2d87f18c9dcab5fbbf44e248b6e99fc28a88835e7534a12af2",
      "question": "Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The primary exchange's official listing page for Consensys' first trading day closing share price and outstanding shares on or before December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 40656.65130200001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3C73FBB57F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "consensys",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K62LY4XV22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-B9JZW4XFG1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xba4326ac49508b291f66ae46b0195b86fb4fcefb72f91e93edab128f43a023d6",
      "question": "Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The primary exchange's official listing page for Consensys' first trading day closing share price and outstanding shares on or before December 31, 2026.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for Consensys’ market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nMarket capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Consensys’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 28830.54233699998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-4E0C985073",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "consensys",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-B9JZW4XFG1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}