{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
  "slug": "cook-islands-parliamentary-election-ngatangiia-winner-20260715192220118",
  "question": "Will the Ngatangiia electorate winner be determined in the Cook Islands parliamentary election?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "cook-islands",
    "2026",
    "constituency",
    "parliamentary"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the winner of the Ngatangiia constituency seat in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election. Each Polymarket contract isolates a single named candidate as a binary outcome. All markets share the same August 12, 2026 resolution date and resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official Cook Islands electoral results. Candidate field incompleteness, with several markets listed as Person A through Person P, is a key resolution risk.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-8L25BK3VF2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.84,
    "implied_probability": 0.84
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8L25BK3VF2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbfe09a583d9791174db7de4bf600b5f026cfc05b0ee67c02dbf00bd66ca1cc65",
      "question": "Will Tukaka George Tamarua Ama win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Tukaka George Tamarua Ama: Official results from the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election for the named constituency, as reported by credible media consensus by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, determine the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Cook Islands government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.84,
      "implied_probability": 0.84,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3.23,
      "volume_total_usd": 19718.380475000005,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cook islands parliamentary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HT1TZYGL30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x24196c8ed94c0a3a01fa60fde0d59ff4d1009afc7fd87e6a668a0a34ca1a481c",
      "question": "Will Christopher Robert Denny win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Christopher Robert Denny: Official results from the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election for the named constituency, as reported by credible media consensus by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, determine the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Cook Islands government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.031,
      "implied_probability": 0.031,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 170.00408,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-88XWFW9BC1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8097fedf78fa164d2a33bbc3930e732f32cb73f9abd0760959864cd3fb77d98e",
      "question": "Will Mapi Ioteva win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Mapi Ioteva: Official results from the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election for the named constituency, as reported by credible media consensus by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, determine the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Cook Islands government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.073,
      "implied_probability": 0.073,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 356.126214,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cook islands parliamentary"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C6C8840J60",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8271f6ac0a9cac586fea743bf28422bea12390eec2821305d783c8da94933219",
      "question": "Will Itinga Maoate win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Itinga Maoate: Official results from the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election for the named constituency, as reported by credible media consensus by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, determine the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Cook Islands government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.043,
      "implied_probability": 0.043,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 145.675223,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cook islands parliamentary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C43R7D2WH4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x67fcc1114e933eda10a820a6fae11ba93596b0fde1f789e83a99e16f526b2c90",
      "question": "Will Person A win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person A: Official results from the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election for the named constituency, as reported by credible media consensus by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, determine the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Cook Islands government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SZF7N5X6P4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c37dffc469b5e8c620eb336f0b109c4a026b92a4bd018ef28df22f6104b9c7c",
      "question": "Will Person B win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person B: Official results from the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election for the named constituency, as reported by credible media consensus by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, determine the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Cook Islands government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cook islands parliamentary"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RD910M06K7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x34205d3f3f216b647daf036306cc4d303ee37da88a125f581e2fb6b88f4312e7",
      "question": "Will Person C win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person C: Official results from the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election for the named constituency, as reported by credible media consensus by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, determine the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Cook Islands government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cook islands parliamentary"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9Z04401BX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9B75K8G482",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1529e8d795f9d0085bb1e68620a4bd8909e42fe6b1a65c0f898e1c71a84abe39",
      "question": "Will Person D win the Ngatangiia constituency in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?",
      "description": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Person D: Official results from the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary election for the named constituency, as reported by credible media consensus by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, determine the winner.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "Parliamentary elections to elect the Parliament of the Cook Islands are scheduled to take place on August 12, 2026.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the constituency of Ngatangiia in the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections.\n\nIf the election results are not known definitively by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThis market will resolve based on the results of the specified election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Cook Islands government.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "Cook Islands government",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Cook Islands government",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
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