{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
  "slug": "core-cpi-mom-july-2026-20260705181328287",
  "question": "Will Core CPI Month-over-Month increase in July 2026?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "inflation",
    "cpi",
    "us-economic-data",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Bureau of Labor Statistics month-over-month Core CPI print for July 2026, released August 12, 2026. All seven contracts are on Polymarket, each pricing a discrete rate-level outcome from 0.0% or below through 0.6% or above. Together they form a full probability distribution across the print's likely range. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the BLS Consumer Price Index report.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-305GN40DD0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.504,
    "implied_probability": 0.504
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2WLZLZ09S8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd46a37b0de386fb56b804ab8ff86d0cb287228556ccc1a985875926ef59441bc",
      "question": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.go",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "≤0.0%: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the seasonally adjusted monthly Core CPI-U percent change.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.054,
      "implied_probability": 0.054,
      "volume_24h_usd": 350,
      "volume_total_usd": 4884.621833,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-D950BD3C9C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core cpi mom",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economic-data"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MKY8NPXB57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x214895321b0081616c50ff0b5669103adb213ac0f1b4690c74f21a3e1f384b2f",
      "question": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.1% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.go",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.1%: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the seasonally adjusted monthly Core CPI-U percent change.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 118.45792900000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 21434.834131,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0.1,
      "question_id": "CMX-97D92A138F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core cpi mom",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economic-data"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-305GN40DD0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb07b92ca1121ebe093f69404fff30fc3a8496038e21e7a731f93c32308f752d1",
      "question": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.go",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.2%: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the seasonally adjusted monthly Core CPI-U percent change.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.504,
      "implied_probability": 0.504,
      "volume_24h_usd": 799.5965249999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 31493.940815999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0.2,
      "question_id": "CMX-4922D2503B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core cpi mom",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economic-data"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-56L2T64H89",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2f63bb68f40eee0d7032180ce6b72be92bad9340ba58f243c0ab8de9a0a5b87c",
      "question": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.go",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.3%: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the seasonally adjusted monthly Core CPI-U percent change.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.264,
      "implied_probability": 0.264,
      "volume_24h_usd": 320.300211,
      "volume_total_usd": 18664.01996100001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0.3,
      "question_id": "CMX-189A18E540",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core cpi mom",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economic-data"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SG6DKMJYF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x997c746e78e1f2b4991af0f46dbd1938da6db74b4c36a53c9f413d65407a2ec8",
      "question": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.4% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.go",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.4%: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the seasonally adjusted monthly Core CPI-U percent change.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.019,
      "implied_probability": 0.019,
      "volume_24h_usd": 95.1,
      "volume_total_usd": 5019.179961,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0.4,
      "question_id": "CMX-584132E461",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core cpi mom",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economic-data"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CK10F0ZMT6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x93f7fd567b5bc4f362127427477e02c6d764e2690f176e03a1303f41419880f1",
      "question": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.5% in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.go",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.5%: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the seasonally adjusted monthly Core CPI-U percent change.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 105.094,
      "volume_total_usd": 3162.8685,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-A75E8504F3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core cpi mom",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economic-data"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5B98RR31D4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xab285be97251f406a40fd3998108c458e00a639d9c7a42622d1fbf433acc17ae",
      "question": "Will Core CPI MoM be 0.6% or more in July?",
      "description": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.go",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.6%+: Bureau of Labor Statistics Consumer Price Index report for July 2026, released August 12, 2026, determines the seasonally adjusted monthly Core CPI-U percent change.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-12T03:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in July 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.\n\nThis market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in July 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month).\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on August 12, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.\n\nNote: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding food and energy — not the headline all items CPI figure.\n\nIf the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "bls.gov",
            "url": "https://www.bls.gov/schedule",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "BLS Consumer Price Index report",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "official monthly BLS CPI news release",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bureau of Labor Statistics",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.021,
      "implied_probability": 0.021,
      "volume_24h_usd": 95.094666,
      "volume_total_usd": 2884.510146,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 0.6,
      "question_id": "CMX-A4B0A03580",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "core cpi mom",
        "cpi",
        "inflation",
        "us-economic-data"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-R0NCKDGX05",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}