{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
  "slug": "ct-04-house-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Republican candidate win the CT-04 House election in 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026-us-elections",
    "connecticut",
    "house-races",
    "congressional-seat"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the November 2026 general election outcome for Connecticut's 4th Congressional District House seat. Polymarket structures the event across eight binary contracts: two price party-level outcomes, five price individual named candidates, and one prices a third-party sweep. All eight resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Federal Election Commission official results. The party-level and candidate-level contracts are complementary; their probabilities should sum to one across all mutually exclusive outcomes.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKH066YXM0",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.036,
    "implied_probability": 0.036
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2F0X435ZT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5e6ddf4c5c31e3d94d641dd051e2a82592f94e496630576a0f838cfba8779126",
      "question": "Will another party win the CT-04 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: Federal Election Commission official results for the named congressional district seat determine the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation as of November 4, 2026 election day.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "ct-04",
        "election",
        "house",
        "other party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WWBQ7VTZN4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x618d2b92ae75b96c6385b6e00a8725ccd13e94a6b6542c9d144f0b39d437f242",
      "question": "Will A win the CT-04 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "A: Federal Election Commission official results for the named congressional district seat determine the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation as of November 4, 2026 election day.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "candidate",
        "ct-04",
        "election",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K4SMQDT6L7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x936d87fdfe05e33bbb0b67b445072e2283ff14dfa05b514b049e61b6efcea2d9",
      "question": "Will E win the CT-04 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "E: Federal Election Commission official results for the named congressional district seat determine the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation as of November 4, 2026 election day.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "candidate",
        "ct-04",
        "election",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZKH066YXM0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x38b503e586f4eeaadf2e44e45bfcb6b1e1a4d50c08069d10642e12620dd0ef5b",
      "question": "Will the Republican Party win the CT-04 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican Party: Federal Election Commission official results for the named congressional district seat determine the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation as of November 4, 2026 election day.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.036,
      "implied_probability": 0.036,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 22068.113844999996,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "ct-04",
        "election",
        "house",
        "republican",
        "republican party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-44QLVT38L8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x239643ff95a7a1898f2223725a1a7a9dbf82f5e71648af07d60c535c6197d89c",
      "question": "Will B win the CT-04 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "B: Federal Election Commission official results for the named congressional district seat determine the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation as of November 4, 2026 election day.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "candidate",
        "ct-04",
        "election",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X2Y7RS9J97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xec1543346319ad6b19bf3f063eabeb731f1beeebb901ab8dcbeabc9eb4472dc9",
      "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the CT-04 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic Party: Federal Election Commission official results for the named congressional district seat determine the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation as of November 4, 2026 election day.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.93,
      "implied_probability": 0.93,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 18868.887001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "ct-04",
        "democrat",
        "democratic party",
        "election",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GCSXGR2M27",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x574f1c7841a7598d58a843cc41e285330c4f2df19b75008b49c26249e0f97cd1",
      "question": "Will D win the CT-04 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "D: Federal Election Commission official results for the named congressional district seat determine the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation as of November 4, 2026 election day.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "candidate",
        "ct-04",
        "election",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1KG1ZZK617",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcc1740a134dee6b1eeaa2cb7ed7afc20dbdcbaf95f6b916755c44b28c9f8da2a",
      "question": "Will C win the CT-04 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "C: Federal Election Commission official results for the named congressional district seat determine the winning candidate's ballot-listed party affiliation as of November 4, 2026 election day.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CT-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "fec.gov",
            "url": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Federal Election Commission",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.fec.gov/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Election Commission",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "candidate",
        "ct-04",
        "election",
        "house"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2F0X435ZT0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WWBQ7VTZN4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K4SMQDT6L7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-44QLVT38L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GCSXGR2M27",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1KG1ZZK617",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-D4CLRBGVW5",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}