{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QXYWX05L4",
  "slug": "cxmt-ipo-closing-market-cap-above-20260722211138916",
  "question": "CXMT’s closing IPO market cap T yuan",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      3,
      3.5
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1.5,
        "prob": 95
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2,
        "prob": 86
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2.5,
        "prob": 76
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3,
        "prob": 52
      },
      {
        "threshold": 3.5,
        "prob": 33
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "ipo",
    "market-cap",
    "cxmt",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track CXMT's market capitalization on the official closing price of its IPO first trading day, denominated in yuan. Six binary strikes span 1T to 3.5T yuan, forming an implied probability distribution across market cap thresholds. All six markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the listed company's official closing price by December 31, 2026. The authoritative source is the official exchange closing price in CXMT's pricing currency on IPO day.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-K487CHNK21",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DJZY59NSV1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QXYWX05L4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x79ebbfdbf24864ae608fde27946d71f37c92a5ca7d39b939835b66c8c8d4ae87",
      "question": "Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2.5T yuan?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to acc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 2.5T yuan: The listed company's market capitalization in its pricing currency on the official closing price of its first trading day must reach or exceed the threshold value, or if no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to \"No\".",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official company filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6580.131349999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 6580.1313500000015,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-0CAE6211B2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cxmt",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HMX1PZX4C7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QXYWX05L4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x97d9f218729a5ba70b6ce1759dd5ad5d963b7ad0b5a3f1664756b6a9778abd79",
      "question": "Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 2T yuan?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to acc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 2T yuan: The listed company's market capitalization in its pricing currency on the official closing price of its first trading day must reach or exceed the threshold value, or if no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to \"No\".",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official company filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5627.2369850000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 5627.236985,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-6D7B404694",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cxmt",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q016HVRY80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QXYWX05L4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb825c31e8b8dc1328bd6a547e0a554c0c44996d621bb3b3db8f47b3dd3dd2480",
      "question": "Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1.5T yuan?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to acc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 1.5T yuan: The listed company's market capitalization in its pricing currency on the official closing price of its first trading day must reach or exceed the threshold value, or if no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to \"No\".",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official company filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4969.494697,
      "volume_total_usd": 4969.494697,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-40C6238E6A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cxmt",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WGZ50VR5L8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QXYWX05L4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x81a2f70c9cc4179aceb122b637e04a94fab0aee3dba4dfddba815ea8e4cf9702",
      "question": "Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 1T yuan?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to acc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 1T yuan: The listed company's market capitalization in its pricing currency on the official closing price of its first trading day must reach or exceed the threshold value, or if no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to \"No\".",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official company filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2680.010664,
      "volume_total_usd": 2680.0106640000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1,
      "question_id": "CMX-A6DBB93439",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cxmt",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PWQ0NWWLY1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QXYWX05L4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe97dd84ba462a1e280b5c7c9ac2b03a0ac36fc4a6c770914ecfca7121851628d",
      "question": "Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3T yuan?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to acc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 3T yuan: The listed company's market capitalization in its pricing currency on the official closing price of its first trading day must reach or exceed the threshold value, or if no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to \"No\".",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official company filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1470.124714,
      "volume_total_usd": 1470.1247140000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-B6DBA59572",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cxmt",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K487CHNK21",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-7QXYWX05L4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0d690e5e4d72cb140df8af4542e2f6f342cbbacfce1da2cc410b72eebd26fba5",
      "question": "Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to acc",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "↑ 3.5T yuan: The listed company's market capitalization in its pricing currency on the official closing price of its first trading day must reach or exceed the threshold value, or if no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market resolves to \"No\".",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if CXMT's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading is greater than or equal to the listed value. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf no such IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No”.\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency.\n\nIt is calculated as the total number of outstanding shares, multiplied by the official closing share price of the publicly traded class on the first trading day.\n\nIf necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently.\n\nThe number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings). The closing share price on the first trading day will be determined from the primary exchange’s official listing page.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official company filings and the primary exchange’s official listing page. The market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the total outstanding shares and the closing price from the first day of trading.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the normal trading session on the specified company’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that day as the first day of trading for the purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official company filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "SEC filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 76,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1877.562221,
      "volume_total_usd": 1877.562221,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-B869D94A0C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "cxmt",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K487CHNK21",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:49:10Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T06:00:42.560Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PWQ0NWWLY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T11:21:55Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T06:00:42.560Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HMX1PZX4C7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:56:27Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T06:00:42.560Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DJZY59NSV1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T10:39:57Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T06:00:42.560Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q016HVRY80",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:55:13Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T06:00:42.560Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WGZ50VR5L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-27T09:37:55Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 1,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-28T06:00:42.560Z",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-7QXYWX05L4",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}