{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
  "slug": "decibel-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Will Decibel's fully diluted valuation be above ___ one day after launch?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "valuation-metric",
    "decibel",
    "2028",
    "fdv"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Decibel's governance token fully diluted valuation one day after launch. FDV is calculated as total token supply multiplied by token price. Seven binary strike thresholds span $20M to $800M, forming an implied probability distribution over launch valuation. All seven resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with a settlement date of January 2028.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-FDFBS3TL97",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.27,
    "implied_probability": 0.27
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-12YY4GQD36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6ea36a53dd7938c3e405790e3c3c4464d29cae423f0912a25025a63248bdb602",
      "question": "Decibel FDV above $20M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$20M: The listed company's governance token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by the most liquid available price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public trading launch, resolves per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.691,
      "implied_probability": 0.691,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3019.147104000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 20000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-7ADA124D7C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "decibel",
        "decibel fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QBSBYZ6LC0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe251d9c3d101504446c0f5854327252ce2167cb7612d737d4bfb37701a49689f",
      "question": "Decibel FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The listed company's governance token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by the most liquid available price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public trading launch, resolves per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.53,
      "implied_probability": 0.53,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2654.4578059999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FA65B563A4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "decibel",
        "decibel fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FDFBS3TL97",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdfd8f10899b3d728804debe1712ad3347daa953ad07fee34e6251aa501b700c3",
      "question": "Decibel FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed company's governance token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by the most liquid available price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public trading launch, resolves per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.27,
      "implied_probability": 0.27,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3138.710852999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3B95C6D24A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "decibel",
        "decibel fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5Y7H8XNBF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf588805d98b334aca3599eac47cb9e7af1211f387c20314c2be6bddf11a52168",
      "question": "Decibel FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The listed company's governance token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by the most liquid available price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public trading launch, resolves per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 153.90650499999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-9F45F6300A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "decibel",
        "decibel fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1LDWK3V3K4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe91c486e36a9eba2ab399303365690a9acd66ff7de02c7125209c18c59c71963",
      "question": "Decibel FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The listed company's governance token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by the most liquid available price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public trading launch, resolves per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10,
      "volume_total_usd": 1937.9061310000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-30D78FF40D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "decibel",
        "decibel fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZPBT6P4RB0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x35b34414396e014e63bf80309d51656fd51d5a4fbd8c607070ab42bb74eb75b8",
      "question": "Decibel FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$500M: The listed company's governance token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by the most liquid available price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public trading launch, resolves per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 76.126878,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-81A4450349",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "decibel",
        "decibel fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D9RG42L1S7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe2d7af6dcea0934472bd9a4c5daa0e5a3a81e855a00a752e81c58c751202c5e5",
      "question": "Decibel FDV above $800M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$800M: The listed company's governance token fully diluted valuation, calculated as total token supply multiplied by the most liquid available price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public trading launch, resolves per UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Decibel's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Decibel (https://x.com/DecibelTrade) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://x.com/DecibelTrade",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
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        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.085,
      "implied_probability": 0.085,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 221.195515,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-47E5C27557",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "decibel",
        "decibel fdv",
        "fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-PV2HHG1M14",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}