{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1H6F43PZF6",
  "slug": "democratic-nominee-for-florida-governor",
  "question": "Will a Democrat win the Florida Governor Democratic Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "florida-governor",
    "democratic-primary",
    "2026",
    "us-politics"
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  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of Florida's Democratic gubernatorial primary, scheduled for August 18, 2026. Each Polymarket contract prices a binary outcome for one named candidate or placeholder slot. The 24 contracts are mutually exclusive; exactly one resolves YES. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Florida Democratic Party's official primary announcement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-51C8W23Q09",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.01
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-51C8W23Q09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1H6F43PZF6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf84dc5dbc649f854bf4d15f3fde65649353971d90c90cd652440058dc652121c",
      "question": "Will Jerry Demings be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jerry Demings: Florida Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 18, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": [
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            "name": "Florida Democratic Party",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "overwhelming consensus of credible reporting",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 74,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1H6F43PZF6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8778fdb0cc01d61e829035842cc75e425544762bcf194aa677b8e638fe794889",
      "question": "Will Shevrin Jones be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Shevrin Jones: Florida Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 18, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x7a12aaa4db8f691c49b209b30b167d92f9f8c5a359fc08b9cb18328f6a750aa9",
      "question": "Will Jason Pizzo be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1H6F43PZF6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc532180a9a9af81e373fc2e16991c339ec8feddc606b90a458e53eaf2f9e71c9",
      "question": "Will Daniella Levine Cava be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x81538f0c03fc3a29c8f67fca7d098c0ec43c125840be3110298b6b471b0ed9a0",
      "question": "Will Angie Nixon be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Angie Nixon: Florida Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 18, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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    {
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      "question": "Will David Jolly be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1H6F43PZF6",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc9ef2ba4100af1b7f48643b74a1e21ad94de7b3cc7c0bb63c2a191669b0ef456",
      "question": "Will Fentrice Driskell be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Fentrice Driskell: Florida Democratic Party's official announcement of the August 18, 2026 Democratic Primary for Governor results, or overwhelming credible reporting consensus if unavailable.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9a18a2fdc18e058946a97c15df7f4b599260b3983caf8da3037becfb09356e37",
      "question": "Will Gwen Graham be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
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      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1H6F43PZF6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7afd1b5d98c10a71de0cbda162c0fa828431b97c06a85bc73dbaf727c7cffe46",
      "question": "Will Candidate A be the Democratic nominee for Florida Governor?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no 2026 Florida Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Florida Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.",
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