{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1JXF3GBLZ3",
  "slug": "doj-reopens-powell-investigation-by",
  "question": "Will the Department of Justice reopen an investigation into Powell by the settlement date?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fed-chair",
    "trump",
    "politics",
    "doj-investigation",
    "powell-jerome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether the Department of Justice reopens an investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell. The May 15 contract is the near-term binary; the June 30 contract extends the resolution window by six weeks. The structural difference is horizon: one prices near-term probability, the other prices cumulative probability across a longer window. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-N6KYX821P2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N6KYX821P2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1JXF3GBLZ3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xab240d7ccb3f17b741221725229b1812a9732b5bc6af8454adb274474128dc7a",
      "question": "DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?",
      "description": "The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice f",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "May 15: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAn official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. \n\nStatements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "United States Department of Justice",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 31396.936229000003,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-15876C8567",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "doj",
        "doj powell investigation",
        "investigation",
        "legal",
        "powell"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0P0XR66H98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1JXF3GBLZ3",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xeaf7739a409df6c318d72ae693c7d560e75bb446066a6477882d8270a83ccaf0",
      "question": "DOJ reopens Powell investigation by June 30?",
      "description": "The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice f",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The United States Department of Justice recently opened, and later dropped, a criminal investigation into Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell over his handling of renovations to the Federal Reserve buildings. \n\nThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States Department of Justice reopens this criminal investigation of Powell, or opens a new criminal investigation of Powell, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nIf the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell, this will also suffice for a “Yes” resolution.\n\nAn official announcement from the United States Department of Justice that the investigation has been reopened, or that a new investigation against Powell has been opened, will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”. \n\nStatements or reports that the Department of Justice is considering allegations or potential investigative action against Powell will not qualify, unless they explicitly indicate that a criminal investigation into Powell has been reopened or opened.\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States Department of Justice, including any relevant United States Attorney’s Office; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "United States Department of Justice",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 67,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 11654.458383,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-20847E3313",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "doj",
        "doj powell investigation",
        "investigation",
        "legal",
        "powell"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0P0XR66H98",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T07:15:07Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N6KYX821P2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-05-19T18:52:18Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1JXF3GBLZ3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}