{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
  "slug": "donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-july-31-august-7",
  "question": "Will Donald Trump make Truth Social posts between July 31 and August 7, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "social-media",
    "truth-social",
    "2026",
    "content-volume"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Donald Trump's Truth Social post count over the period July 31 to August 7, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as eleven discrete count-range tiers, each a binary contract covering a 20-post interval from zero to 200-plus. The authoritative source is the Post Counter metric from Trump's Truth Social profile, captured via xtracker.polymarket.com and resolved through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Note that resolve_at precedes close_at, indicating these markets settled on August 1, 2026 before the observation window formally closed.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-70LP0V2XW9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VH4S1QTK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9910709c3824378ba3460ba181cb0e6fcba3dd4dcbff65605d9b6ab6f5ce2f2c",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T20:07:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2380.3945000000003,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQ2R40Z5Y8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x162b74d879ab0214559ee23aecc9bce02f23b628c1a14a310bfcd8c168accb42",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-39: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-02T15:03:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 573.3045,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 20,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XN26CX0645",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb84f3f43e72f79bf6824fcc845539cb550f81dd0cf29e0553f1225ddbff1f065",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-59: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:18:41Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5196.432250000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2K8JY9TKT8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x382292368f86d40704bc1ebccdb29c156d8c95fc896899728a581286e433ec83",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-79: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T00:23:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2885.87,
      "volume_total_usd": 4146.2839859999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70LP0V2XW9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x22369b2f85c3a55e03e14a6c8050ee6aa7b63b325a75942eb8e31f7628fa6c9a",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T16:35:44Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6375.224,
      "volume_total_usd": 6997.763926,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZ5CSX9Z75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7d516777a0c59d95bca26cdf0f932626023084821c4188f377f43a17875de4fb",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T16:50:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.019,
      "implied_probability": 0.019,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3650.73,
      "volume_total_usd": 6211.962294999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 100,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R2VJY787R1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1507361c41119c788fcadd5aa73f88da829d1226572fdd37966f1ee81258a703",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "120-139: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1208.020027,
      "volume_total_usd": 2062.1166759999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 120,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D8VTS33MW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc4743b7426e89b768d55f3b81ef70bb7088086bb805a1592f39e7635852e37c2",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "140-159: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.11,
      "implied_probability": 0.11,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1171.821329,
      "volume_total_usd": 2858.789073,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 140,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-TRZC177PB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a3ad5b3cea57a1ea541808223548a5991e8e6427828be84d69b15a7a6af1fe1",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "160-179: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1106.2923540000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 1547.769014,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 160,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KYW23MDW40",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x22e412deb77ee23556687c46479a55c50263b53e9bccf29b90796b84f278d5d9",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "180-199: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.296,
      "implied_probability": 0.296,
      "volume_24h_usd": 708.9525120000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 1626.271309,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 180,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-02NB5RCQ36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd91fffc6fcfc0100b9187579b979994b640629fb781205e96b1c75b5114f4b46",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at ht",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "200+: The Post Counter metric from the named candidate's Truth Social profile, captured at xtracker.polymarket.com, determines total posts between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "Truth Social itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 68,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.336,
      "implied_probability": 0.336,
      "volume_24h_usd": 721.452201,
      "volume_total_usd": 1712.922651,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZ5CSX9Z75",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T16:50:11Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-70LP0V2XW9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T16:35:44Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2K8JY9TKT8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T00:23:11Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XN26CX0645",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-04T00:18:41Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQ2R40Z5Y8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-02T15:03:41Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7VH4S1QTK1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2026-08-01T20:07:41Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-J80RGLT7L9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}