{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
  "slug": "donald-trump-of-truth-social-posts-may-29-june-5",
  "question": "Will Donald Trump make at least one Truth Social post between May 29 and June 5, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "trump",
    "social-media",
    "truth-social",
    "2026",
    "post-volume"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Trump's total Truth Social post count for the seven-day window ending June 5, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as eleven mutually exclusive count tiers, from 0-19 posts up to 200-plus. Each tier is a binary market; taken together, they imply a full probability distribution over posting volume. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle reading the Post Counter figure at xtracker.polymarket.com.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-5XTBK5L4M1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N4QBX87605",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8d713520bc44559f62e3e233a9f8c0e62516bff139c5162a1de349b0061178d6",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The \"Post Counter\" figure tracked at xtracker.polymarket.com for @realDonaldTrump posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "truthsocial.com"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 724.368777,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 80,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4LW7MLHCB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xea15a5e9335730b46f23e6008a6016e7c272762c3503b56778559175371c4fb6",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The \"Post Counter\" figure tracked at xtracker.polymarket.com for @realDonaldTrump posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "truthsocial.com"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2714.09,
      "volume_total_usd": 3545.291333,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 140,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PC4XTWYKS6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8156b103d176d0b921426c966becca53d9ceabe382e9c0fbdf243d4f4b9b6e0e",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The \"Post Counter\" figure tracked at xtracker.polymarket.com for @realDonaldTrump posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "truthsocial.com"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3420.681,
      "volume_total_usd": 4204.520708,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 160,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5XTBK5L4M1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7246c2a3bf092e0ff15058493c3d97985af09ac39b083e513d0dfd1c4f1b7a82",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The \"Post Counter\" figure tracked at xtracker.polymarket.com for @realDonaldTrump posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "truthsocial.com"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 18145.846505,
      "volume_total_usd": 19838.701176,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QYVBJJMS57",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x59c56a61ced6b37d3d15c4736723176bb3603b7ef30f4d4ba6d9942b7dd1145b",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 0-19 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The \"Post Counter\" figure tracked at xtracker.polymarket.com for @realDonaldTrump posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "truthsocial.com"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1199.0120000000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6CJYPK3NZ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x88539c10728d70719d37229b4b31c132afe285648be45e462598637edd4c6ab4",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The \"Post Counter\" figure tracked at xtracker.polymarket.com for @realDonaldTrump posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "truthsocial.com"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 330.97497899999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WD0L9J30S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6ab2ff68c4189a5e4f3cd385b555fd1b741dbe0f72245bc77743ceedc00138b7",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The \"Post Counter\" figure tracked at xtracker.polymarket.com for @realDonaldTrump posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between May 29, 12:00 PM ET and June 5, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the \"Post Counter\" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": "truthsocial.com"
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 82,
        "caps": [
          "uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 410.828846,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 60,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "donald trump truth",
        "posts",
        "social media",
        "trump",
        "truth social"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S29XJ631Q1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-R1D3QFRVW0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xac52d40481f2e827216777035ccb86a26502095a5260f3cff5b8e1eddcb1f34e",
      "question": "Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
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        "caps": [
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