{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6YZ1C3449",
  "slug": "dreamcash-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Dreamcash FDV, one day after launch in January 2028",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      20000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 20000000,
        "prob": 47
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000000,
        "prob": 28
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 24
      },
      {
        "threshold": 200000000,
        "prob": 16
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300000000,
        "prob": 12
      },
      {
        "threshold": 400000000,
        "prob": 2
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "2028",
    "price-discovery"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Dreamcash token's Fully Diluted Valuation one day after its launch. FDV is calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue. Six binary strike thresholds span $20M to $400M, forming an implied probability distribution across valuation outcomes. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P6LKQ190Q6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.47,
    "implied_probability": 0.47
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P6LKQ190Q6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6YZ1C3449",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa4198708a01581d5464fdb58c63d90d35c9212580b0b4503b89a14385aab81af",
      "question": "Dreamcash FDV above $20M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn'",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$20M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue, determined at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.47,
      "implied_probability": 0.47,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8133.071006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 20000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-DEC74A0C06",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dreamcash",
        "dreamcash fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HG48P0N822",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6YZ1C3449",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7cb1dc60802d3fa7d4d9e10fea5da1a3d396413ecc4b6272c1575a802ca2e5c9",
      "question": "Dreamcash FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn'",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$50M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue, determined at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 23077.95187500002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-60C3CE4BB1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dreamcash",
        "dreamcash fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5265PN1493",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6YZ1C3449",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0cb1760c15287d5f0d01a6b9a26bd688331982d7b7754e036353c3ffb2381dea",
      "question": "Dreamcash FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn'",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$100M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue, determined at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.24,
      "implied_probability": 0.24,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 5217.157137000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6304DDBE0E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dreamcash",
        "dreamcash fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RWH70FLD16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6YZ1C3449",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0194e156096b2c87e2c4111a20b667764278711c5fadec9296e75c03e55ff69a",
      "question": "Dreamcash FDV above $200M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn'",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue, determined at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 856.164427,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6C08E529E0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dreamcash",
        "dreamcash fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LWKDNM3MQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6YZ1C3449",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc554571be50083024ce20023d90e2d86f48e5e1a39bf480653c687c845fff957",
      "question": "Dreamcash FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn'",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue, determined at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2212.22896,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-642956BDA6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dreamcash",
        "dreamcash fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-597T5CQP94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C6YZ1C3449",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb9ee05146e9b7c20d25c95eaa4bc886ca75d004899aa9d878cfd76d1c004e9c6",
      "question": "Dreamcash FDV above $400M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn'",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$400M: The listed token's Fully Diluted Valuation, calculated as total supply multiplied by price on the most liquid trading venue, determined at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Dreamcash's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Dreamcash (https://x.com/Dreamcash) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/Dreamcash",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.015,
      "implied_probability": 0.015,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 4068.729276000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FD25B9F71D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "dreamcash",
        "dreamcash fdv",
        "fdv",
        "token launch"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C6YZ1C3449",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}