{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVR4MFSHW1",
  "slug": "elon-bull-run-parlay",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk's net worth reach $300 billion by the end of 2026?",
  "category": "technology",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "technology",
    "tech",
    "elon-musk",
    "parlay",
    "2026",
    "prediction-market"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks a multi-condition parlay tied to Elon Musk's net worth and asset performance by December 31, 2026. A single Polymarket contract prices the joint probability of three simultaneous conditions being met. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle to verify all three conditions against observable data. Failure of any single condition collapses the entire parlay to zero.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GF372RT951",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.011,
    "implied_probability": 0.011
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GF372RT951",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NVR4MFSHW1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x115ee9b6bdc5dc9a50338698c8633d8e05bb626968fc1d0def9e71287e3e2650",
      "question": "Elon Bull Run Parlay",
      "description": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Elon Musk trillionaire\n- Another Elon baby\n- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "UMA Optimistic Oracle resolves based on verification of three conditions by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET: Elon Musk's net worth exceeding one trillion dollars, birth of another Musk child, and nine or more SpaceX Starship launches reaching space.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET:\n\n- Elon Musk trillionaire\n- Another Elon baby\n- 9+ SpaceX Starship launches reach space\n\nOtherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nThis market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met within the specified timeframe.\n\nThe full rules for this market can be found here: \nhttps://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com",
            "url": "https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Elon+Bull+Run+Parlay.pdf",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 20,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "discretionary_trigger_no_source",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": 205,
      "volume_total_usd": 11668.789412000018,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-7F3DB3C874",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "bull run",
        "elon",
        "elon bull run",
        "parlay"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NVR4MFSHW1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}