{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
  "slug": "elon-musk-net-worth-on-july-31-20260629141452413",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elon-musk",
    "net-worth",
    "tech-billionaire",
    "wealth-valuation",
    "2026",
    "economics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Elon Musk's net worth against seven discrete $0.10T brackets on July 31, 2026. All seven are Polymarket binary contracts; together they form a full probability distribution over net worth outcomes. The authoritative source is the Bloomberg Billionaires Index, with resolution via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Bracket overlap risk is low given mutually exclusive tier design, but index methodology updates could affect bracket assignment.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-128Y8C5GS2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.131,
    "implied_probability": 0.131
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KHP2P0HVJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe33350033e3fbfb546660fc43fcce9428b8c93eb9f397ceef95624720315e54e",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $0.70T on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<$0.70T: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves the net worth bracket on July 31, 2026, with ties rounding to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.336,
      "implied_probability": 0.336,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4676.818020999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 15212.657339000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 0.7,
      "question_id": "CMX-F88C685A89",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y32TGZSHF5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9989e93cd64017f3da829c3f0b2dc33a2c5fd09b52f8b74966ac126a91e0aab8",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.70T and $0.80T on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$0.70-$0.80T: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves the net worth bracket on July 31, 2026, with ties rounding to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.458,
      "implied_probability": 0.458,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2083.523863,
      "volume_total_usd": 11141.049076000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-F88C685A89",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-128Y8C5GS2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfbc4bc97459e74eb4d3071b832315cfd8e338a9c9b3dc3e6342f446212e76518",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.80T and $0.90T on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$0.80-$0.90T: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves the net worth bracket on July 31, 2026, with ties rounding to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.131,
      "implied_probability": 0.131,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4143.1453089999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 19567.40560800001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-5A2B953E2C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BK055RQH30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcaccbcef6795b9baafa77bdd6da989e5691fbb3190447767d17dc30ab0b7260f",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $0.90T and $1.00T on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$0.90-$1.00T: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves the net worth bracket on July 31, 2026, with ties rounding to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.034,
      "implied_probability": 0.034,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1399.403597,
      "volume_total_usd": 9503.773838000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-87933C09C4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-08436SGZQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb0cfbde9261332b2f6b98275aa19eac084cefc55819962bbaa6d98734bd6ad0d",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.00T and $1.10T on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.00-$1.10T: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves the net worth bracket on July 31, 2026, with ties rounding to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1663.467665,
      "volume_total_usd": 11713.170786000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-628D9D46AD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KD6BYSXY94",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xb8cd094bc23bff8213d3f45f09d660895323d3e7164cd68016356174ddf0f4ba",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.10T and $1.20T on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.10-$1.20T: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves the net worth bracket on July 31, 2026, with ties rounding to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1571.023664,
      "volume_total_usd": 7724.5923619999985,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4C35D11648",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-13YRFKQGB2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-851SY1NZV4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8c1c09dd419c7f0e3de9213589ed2d49b0d2bfecdcc1f5cd11c62258a82597a7",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $1.20T on July 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.20T+: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves the net worth bracket on July 31, 2026, with ties rounding to the higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-31T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on July 31, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for July 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
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    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}