{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGSHQGLR04",
  "slug": "elon-musk-net-worth-on-june-30-138",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economy",
    "tech",
    "wealth-measurement",
    "elon-musk",
    "net-worth"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Elon Musk's net worth as reported by the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on June 30, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as nine discrete binary tranches spanning below $660b to above $800b in $20b increments. Each tranche resolves independently, letting traders express a point view on wealth range rather than a simple directional bet. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle referencing the Bloomberg Billionaires Index as the authoritative data source.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-DGMJBS32T5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DJ4KL3GPJ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGSHQGLR04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x21f354cba724b3706e90e970e42cb36f8aedf6609e1c0ff9a14492ed09debb63",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<660b: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves net worth on June 30, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle, with ties resolved to higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 837.559833,
      "volume_total_usd": 3457.702891999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 660,
      "question_id": "CMX-42B3BC6AC0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F4Q4Z2DPT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGSHQGLR04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe0cf831a07aa856b294ab4723bfd3da6fa4388680e71febcae04a05cfe9cc309",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $680b and $700b on June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "680-700b: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves net worth on June 30, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle, with ties resolved to higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 800.1955,
      "volume_total_usd": 2944.284932,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 680,
      "question_id": "CMX-0DBD08EB90",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3P3BH6GLF3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGSHQGLR04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8ae4eb674bfc74770d110d5d5931384feb15216ddf6c2c842babb636f26bda45",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $720b and $740b on June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "720-740b: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves net worth on June 30, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle, with ties resolved to higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1086.8105,
      "volume_total_usd": 3393.28692,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 720,
      "question_id": "CMX-FD8B7C5A13",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-H9WG9YK7N7",
          "price": 0.98
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C9ZQC9LL64",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGSHQGLR04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f8ded99faf283e2476d27b25de1666f209a857c135ab74657d4242704aea0f0",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $760b and $780b on June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "760-780b: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves net worth on June 30, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle, with ties resolved to higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1155.936,
      "volume_total_usd": 3258.6665359999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 760,
      "question_id": "CMX-FF6338295F",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-YZ2KVJYDB1",
          "price": 0.99
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DGMJBS32T5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGSHQGLR04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8fd8fa31b1ee99e1d72bdde2e0358414064575d90385b6619f8a8c888691dd5b",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be at least $800b on June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "800b+: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves net worth on June 30, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle, with ties resolved to higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3419.866102,
      "volume_total_usd": 10937.628202000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800,
      "question_id": "CMX-EB38F2D345",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-1GF0QPYQR5",
          "price": 0.41
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VR45VNTCZ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGSHQGLR04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x124a7d5a6b98388e1763b3ce617eeff9cda599b61f14d1b74096db8eed86336f",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $680b on June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "660-680b: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves net worth on June 30, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle, with ties resolved to higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "bloomberg.com",
            "url": "https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Bloomberg Billionaires Index",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 46,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 855.8185,
      "volume_total_usd": 2320.4657469999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 660,
      "question_id": "CMX-42B3BC6AC0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk net",
        "elon-musk",
        "net-worth",
        "wealth"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R5PKM7FYG8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GGSHQGLR04",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfd45c2b5ccd359ed73f7083eb19b84ea2d1c9ab1a0e2642332e2001a53b30a44",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700b and $720b on June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "700-720b: Bloomberg Billionaires Index profile for the named individual resolves net worth on June 30, 2026, via UMA Optimistic Oracle, with ties resolved to higher bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the value of Elon Musk's net worth on June 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for June 30, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
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