{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
  "slug": "elon-musk-of-tweets-august-7-august-14",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk post more than X tweets between August 7 and August 14, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elon-musk",
    "twitter-activity",
    "social-media",
    "pop-culture",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Elon Musk's total X posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026. All markets are on Polymarket and price discrete 20-unit count tiers, together forming a full probability distribution over post volume. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts. Post deletions or account restrictions during the window could complicate the final tally.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-M1QXXHHQG4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.004,
    "implied_probability": 0.004
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M1QXXHHQG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa7deaeb2455e36ce016039390016fa8b4c0abe1f86de284339ccc2e822c40f8d",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4563.901,
      "volume_total_usd": 4563.901000000001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CWR60FP6G1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x38f0d63ac18caaa26e9e7149cbdbb3322dfd9f6e2114cd970b0e304cb3f3dab4",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-39: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2244.984,
      "volume_total_usd": 2244.984,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BDH5XBD8X8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3dde8c195c1af69437d0291da288248c777f076e687727020b30f25159d89d30",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-59: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2237.034,
      "volume_total_usd": 2237.034,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7MSZ120TN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa94ae5d7158b65127c1be2f54a569f5e615625e17bd1944f083fcb7d7fe718ca",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-79: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1353.887,
      "volume_total_usd": 1353.887,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6J322DJJY2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x490dca373e274d5bc83d18dfd27109318f285d495e728b29a6300d07b0da8b55",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 368.984,
      "volume_total_usd": 368.98400000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G3C8GM3WT4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x17bd73a570cfcc920bff6e73552b8559872219032beefb8480d06efd218a2c44",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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          {
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xf997fa4e89cbfb7d0142d488a0880c99c120579eee837619fba63b4b9da025b4",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "120-139: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
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          {
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          {
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RJ86R2TXV7",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x507adfaafd13957ec7af2c94aa68ab20a9aa06e07e68a55353f5c70b293f6ba9",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
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        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
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      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "x.com",
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
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          {
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            "url": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X6D60JY300",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x8f6f79798688fac90132fcf5becf20daa2e64ad17150be881c115e891ca3273e",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
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            "url": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R9138724R0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xac5b17243f720192e1928c807ee53b59f82d8f62eb1abb223f642f29f54fbbeb",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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    {
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      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xcb35c5579437d6aa0a7858fafe21c12be74c48fe28a32474901f98da5b714f3f",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xa1fd8792ba7515d34ead5e6f31c8db21fac47201c9711e7bfab211f1e6e2cb2c",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
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        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
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            "name": "x.com",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "tags": [
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    {
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        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd25f61f0fa5b17e53e70a75541c8d4611dacc7a33a18df1bf74e479fabd413bf",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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          {
            "name": "x.com",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
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      "rcg": {
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      "volume_total_usd": 317,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YS3X4JYX78",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0346b1d9f3a4c7dc015c6b5973db772391ebc8489926892179a114b3feb1d123",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "360-379: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
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          {
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            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0ad78a29fb74f0251673662f9a8aafa9d4afb322379b3e4f245752fa2fb0e087",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
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        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "x.com",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
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      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
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        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
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          {
            "name": "x.com",
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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      "volume_total_usd": 22,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xeb0e57094dfd324fae9a7b404affd0961a07bf88ba1d05c09d4895cbae5902ff",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.004,
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      "volume_total_usd": 671.5375,
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      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2H47J5XVS7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-MTM0KM4MM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x930c4f3d24d04e36d78e59e880adb911ea094438e7edb6fa7ef72346ede8f13a",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward th",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "caps": [
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      "volume_total_usd": 395.994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xcb0f7d0ec93973fde9896e6321f965c80c0c606a7c691c09bc34a4df6bb61a6c",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "460-479: The number of main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET, as captured by the UMA Optimistic Oracle tracker, resolves the market.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 7 12:00 PM ET to August 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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