{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
  "slug": "elon-musk-of-tweets-july-21-july-28",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elon-musk",
    "social-media-activity",
    "twitter-x",
    "pop-culture",
    "behavioral-prediction"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Elon Musk's total posts, quote posts, and reposts on X from July 21 to July 28, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as mutually exclusive count tiers in 20-unit increments, collectively spanning the full distribution of likely outcomes. All tiers resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against observed X activity in the defined window. Reposts and quote posts count toward the total, which can materially inflate the tally relative to original posts alone.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G06C62V6H6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZRQ3DP4Q30",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7fe956c4db818d8541e025ca4260a2b41c9f35302b4842b7edf4cbcd6307cacb",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-22T05:23:40Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 32468.713,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1Q2HYZXLM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf075dd892068e5f5dc0443381d6cc3b9c50d51e0e062c42a5c556b8961c6d356",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-39: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-22T08:53:43Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 10310,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FQ8FR3C609",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4eb9f897991526de1a4f44a797c6b4f7a1fdca6a6231eaafc888020a5626eb20",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-59: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-22T14:26:40Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 26822.35,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G06C62V6H6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0a3bdc36d5edb001998eef43764985572f3043dbb9f91fb006828523aafb4312",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-79: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-23T09:56:42Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
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            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 1110,
      "volume_total_usd": 69768.36432099997,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J9WZ76SZV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x13d3876f154b2d78805dc7120fcf2483c1859826cba264f7b2e75d61f71a7519",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
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            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1311.05,
      "volume_total_usd": 46549.93621099998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PZBBZLC2R5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2ba4f66ab560054ec4cf56f2578d3d6c1e4f8708010cdcf7b1b118934d81d46a",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 28314.559,
      "volume_total_usd": 67266.349848,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7X19R0YTX0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xba9ff5deb3dd59c9ed5fd033777b9f117f457d8b9105ec63bac1d21d3a1c1cdd",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "120-139: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": 18882.491862000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 49155.516895000015,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MHDMY699B8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xced4460f12ac0e3422dcfd5425653fea0c8169507b6e619ff543f557852c98e7",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "140-159: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "X itself",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.039,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QB2QDKFBT3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5fb3ff3fbe2e82aeb91228cccc1f42c9f4b9edae6ca5a7827e9ea0a494c333f5",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "160-179: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7930.4602159999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 31884.233221999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-57JM4JQZH4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xee550e55cc98977d4f1458fa7c2bba4b9da869d2ef11bf108b32663f8b6763d1",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "180-199: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12007.391693999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 45935.69783700001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VBYPDYJCL2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4b71b7d8bd5e7d4e8efd3e3ff70cbc7a41061e374d902ebb9139326286b0006a",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "200-219: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.2,
      "implied_probability": 0.2,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6418.011079,
      "volume_total_usd": 20023.476877999994,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V79G9NHMV5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9d7f222063336b30a9ae7b1d0449fb7619a5ac027e4ddb1b1489c4c7b99c8ae2",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "220-239: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
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            "name": "X itself",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
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      "volume_total_usd": 24105.170870999988,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FXB1XZV2C9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xca324f67b4634f3d9e8146329007adff4cb8eee1c0a8c2fc5896abb51ab83f32",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "240-259: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.112,
      "implied_probability": 0.112,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PN57VKKQ49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc09ff99161aeb78f65907571f0d68888141f6bade830eb92f962142ef8bbcd26",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-B6VN30N533",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x724e198448f612097b59a8dd46ebf8b56adbb718864f0c5a195070bb7747029d",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.034,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P17LG9XJZ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc1c829df80f49cf6a7036f44c96d15615e1d80f1ca7e49f155a88992e7fcd33",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "300-319: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": 9453.946574999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 39219.310761000015,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2H8K1QVLG3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4e054cf642d27183f973d72f1dc9f054b0d93e2fa7d106fcfaf7e2a64098ed5d",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "320-339: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12575.310466999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 47759.67442299999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D2L1N3KVB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2a1630e34cc833ef5e2f1f98e480350ddcd153dda7ab8faf39622616b2e40aaa",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "340-359: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "name": "X itself",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.004,
      "implied_probability": 0.004,
      "volume_24h_usd": 15064.513035999998,
      "volume_total_usd": 41181.45015100001,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJX15QNH56",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe150dd12ae793666041b643190e5f38eabd6be67fb5a0ac8d1dfc67e618328e8",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "360-379: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
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      "volume_total_usd": 36283.180778,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6JJ71DGXX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2eb8a0305c22f869d93928cd37c78b089f3408246780d7ae54587a579c075012",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "380-399: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
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            "url": null,
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        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.002,
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      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2LTFRQCSM7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7e99cd23a6a8734c4969ab3953bbc5c27acca28c25a17f3a834ba0cc753ce8b8",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "400-419: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2837.856,
      "volume_total_usd": 36940.16749999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FYJDHYQQZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1cfdd3291ab13c85e2ba8eda9aa02c32d547b0c981e31dd6a8dea31be0b5a2ee",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "420-439: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4106.996,
      "volume_total_usd": 34547.27899999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XTFM5RB4X5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xccd3e16ab677739220a2a3f5fb8e773db52fc469a85f4a0553c78fe5ef56c512",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "440-459: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
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        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 8576.414,
      "volume_total_usd": 62747.30399999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZP0W5CGT70",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-DTJHX94D67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x49d5d5c54174be680c91e7b4f5d7bf933486662dc349ce86e071917afa87c821",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "460-479: The number of posts, quote posts, and reposts by the named individual on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28 12:00 PM ET 2026, excluding replies, as captured by the platform's tracker, resolves the outcome.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-28T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 21 12:00 PM ET to July 28, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
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