{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
  "slug": "elon-musk-of-tweets-july-31-august-7",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "pop-culture",
    "social-media-activity",
    "elon-musk",
    "twitter-x",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Elon Musk's public post count on X from July 31 to August 7, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as discrete 20-post count tiers, each a separate binary contract; together they span a continuous post-count distribution. The authoritative source is X's own public post count for the named account. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-49FYQ3P1N2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.007,
    "implied_probability": 0.007
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X0BJSW2R88",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe8b2fa598fd8cd87e14782f67cbcb26dccd0c1e82ef15d1c9f2e1b934a5c366c",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<20: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T00:47:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 8135,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-99LSQS8QZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6fede11e62cba0f8619ba6f2d60b845d37e0bcb05f47d98e0e333f3721d6b2fc",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "20-39: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-01T08:00:18Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5235,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q6XK9LXZZ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf03d3644f1f6c2cef13c82005e045b3f19762eb4dc9446902ad6cffa832182f6",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "40-59: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-02T20:17:12Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1780.9999999999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6ZW3N1MYQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0e63c98ce3f47e5a36a2c123d3b0cf3afc42e3d6827b2d001e1f5f3fb31fe8d7",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "60-79: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-03T15:57:11Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 29319.278742000002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WZQ1KJNL78",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa0df0602e03de7348818adbeff261435d05529f088d9cdb4f58adadf7022f275",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "80-99: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T15:56:14Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 25000,
      "volume_total_usd": 99515.625563,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PNS114PB35",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcf32b3a48a9ecdcf30d1cc4cbe4df1c5d44c2bf672036b36f17b0e14718aa044",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "100-119: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 31338.200486,
      "volume_total_usd": 103705.715978,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-49FYQ3P1N2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5f1384b2f3a9dfddd2004571dcd2cc2fc10a0c2b5337a7726de66bf18440145e",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "120-139: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.007,
      "implied_probability": 0.007,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22868.835350000005,
      "volume_total_usd": 118336.99158399999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8TJRYGL1V0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdc22e5ef92bb301c1a65ab1a3e2ab8583c408979a42b636019f7831042479148",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "140-159: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.061,
      "implied_probability": 0.061,
      "volume_24h_usd": 23100.554616,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RL28LRF2B7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xfd5d06a9a3782e73859ea1bbcfc729b88f92da9a117f0550ac450d11efd46b28",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "160-179: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.187,
      "implied_probability": 0.187,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22508.516899,
      "volume_total_usd": 66033.340062,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G5XS012464",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc5fac43fb2ceb6e88c4badb230421d6f5f3a3cdfe170d5b5469445d1747d960d",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "180-199: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.3,
      "implied_probability": 0.3,
      "volume_24h_usd": 22027.931695999992,
      "volume_total_usd": 46489.721765000024,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V6F2N0WS08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1ac391e5a813bb939a3679cc7ddf4ce0621018a47fa473fe17b4ab78cbb0e52b",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "200-219: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.21,
      "implied_probability": 0.21,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12795.559233999962,
      "volume_total_usd": 33892.54976100002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-98TL4610F4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x31f5acacecc85effe6e80cecca25f128c1ec1e7e51f3bc0e077bafe86725032f",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "220-239: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13866.439201000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 38143.08905,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-584FFRYYP5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xefb0f2697ded1ef9f077c6b41fc975c3bd4e29281d739c3e9937d5126583ac43",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "240-259: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.07,
      "implied_probability": 0.07,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11835.846005000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 42072.26611300002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XCF5C6M395",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xed0f20b88789dbd6534e5e03292445c257aeecb60d773ae027c2284dc634dd64",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "260-279: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.022,
      "implied_probability": 0.022,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10008.810256999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 36935.95653499999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9T388H4GZ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4bc5e13ef647a597db6ba09a2bb70f3b6e1e89a75dd2a39e1b0504fed9a9877e",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "280-299: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.008,
      "implied_probability": 0.008,
      "volume_24h_usd": 23902.71313,
      "volume_total_usd": 52489.54902099999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PKVKTSBGS8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbd28e79d3b0a529b5b6c08198cd639c947f38608b09573483d026a4af347f0a4",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "300-319: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 18251.221442,
      "volume_total_usd": 55394.721239000006,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M19FY9QBP3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a620018ed986025cb4776ce9e302dc66e7f4fc12b12201e52167574d5ffc821",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "320-339: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
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            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 19139.895,
      "volume_total_usd": 60658.22599500002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X1L8FQDMM0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf053cc8f65c94379d4f0378941ed791d5f2fd9edc609a8b75f607ed32553bb80",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "340-359: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12983.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 52629.50342799999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DL19F03RZ9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7340669a6f3798f78538b12862e0fccf2ccd6e2e9f8cd481508b3fa8045b7d45",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "360-379: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 12078.755003000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 62871.64618799999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3PSVC0KW65",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1b8ffdb167f98d7a52da29cd1e600fbb32bd22a26bb44bdf700bd8d6f376b4b1",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "380-399: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1000,
      "volume_total_usd": 62092.26779899999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RSQJ7L0DM1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xad34dc473bc63bff52d25bf565138358f5a3a431e2deedcf1fd208e41405e72f",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "400-419: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
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        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1000,
      "volume_total_usd": 62746.85399999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NSC3VD7SJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa528a76911b9b2a4a92c6994dd19babfa65e93871516f2872b4a56ef62256ecf",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "420-439: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 37704.931000000004,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4JGWB2XJF0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcc57e41f733a30dbc367cffc77209344b2853602d5c009764561e6176f0dc360",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "440-459: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://x.com/elonmusk",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "X itself",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 60,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 13730.247,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk tweets"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6VBJDN4F18",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-GQ763JGFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5e80c9d8c3aa34bd51b63b687ae0e086dfbbf68baeb36e78fadf2dc1382ec5f9",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "460-479: X's public post count for the named account from July 31 12:00 PM ET to August 7 2026 12:00 PM ET, including main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts, resolved by UMA Optimistic Oracle by August 7 2026 4:00 PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-07T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
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