{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHF6THBKX9",
  "slug": "elon-musk-of-tweets-june-4-june-6",
  "question": "Will Elon Musk tweet more than X times between June 4 and June 6, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "pop-culture",
    "politics",
    "elon-musk",
    "twitter-activity",
    "2026",
    "social-media"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Elon Musk's total post count on X from June 4 to June 6, 2026. Ten mutually exclusive Polymarket bins span from under 40 posts to 240 or more, forming a full probability distribution over volume. Together the bins price the shape of that distribution, not a binary outcome. Resolution relies on Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts by @elonmusk.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Y779MNC5S1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LR2R85V9R7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHF6THBKX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x688ea9f0d304628a6236863641da9e8aa8355b3634d271dab191c4d89419ef46",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the tot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Polymarket's X tracker records posts by @elonmusk from June 4-6, 2026, counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts but excluding replies.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3558.788062,
      "volume_total_usd": 4029.0413720000006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk",
        "elon musk tweets",
        "social media",
        "twitter"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S4PP8375V9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHF6THBKX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xca7c24e47d956c7e23b3d80768ffad1c6dd9fbfe11d2a15f0b44ca8d397be4c2",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the tot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Polymarket's X tracker records posts by @elonmusk from June 4-6, 2026, counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts but excluding replies.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10185.967,
      "volume_total_usd": 12468.487,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 215,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk",
        "elon musk tweets",
        "social media",
        "twitter"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KPLCSCFXT8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHF6THBKX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcf082b1893fd62ea2fb6b55db37d0237127a0f261486dc01437446ecb703f57e",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the tot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Polymarket's X tracker records posts by @elonmusk from June 4-6, 2026, counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts but excluding replies.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5151.082,
      "volume_total_usd": 7736.612,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 240,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk",
        "elon musk tweets",
        "social media",
        "twitter"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8RXDBWLTP2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHF6THBKX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x95a1a35c68caa4393bf3aa6b299aca8874e57c077dea419727ed5397bcd9b7bb",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the tot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Polymarket's X tracker records posts by @elonmusk from June 4-6, 2026, counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts but excluding replies.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3951.4898200000007,
      "volume_total_usd": 4455.323341,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 40,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk",
        "elon musk tweets",
        "social media",
        "twitter"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HB22T6N1D3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHF6THBKX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0b3f0b50bad6986378d09026c7fa84ef913063a80c729adb1761e3a74f5655b2",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the tot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Polymarket's X tracker records posts by @elonmusk from June 4-6, 2026, counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts but excluding replies.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3355.793145,
      "volume_total_usd": 3815.161146000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 65,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk",
        "elon musk tweets",
        "social media",
        "twitter"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-X46SKNT2Z6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHF6THBKX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2ecde48db86e330ff8b29ee15b3c7fa513c29c55279aa7aa806ec5deb2ca379b",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the tot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Polymarket's X tracker records posts by @elonmusk from June 4-6, 2026, counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts but excluding replies.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2518.698156,
      "volume_total_usd": 2987.0041120000005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 90,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "elon musk",
        "elon musk tweets",
        "social media",
        "twitter"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2DTX1PY1C0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-ZHF6THBKX9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x57f0baaff0077e752d3766d5b5dea2ac9f5339bd1faa86a24eebbe2c79db7d8b",
      "question": "Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the tot",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Polymarket's X tracker records posts by @elonmusk from June 4-6, 2026, counting main feed posts, quote posts, and reposts but excluding replies.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from June 4 12:00 PM ET to June 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.\n\nFor the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.\n\nReplies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.\n\nDeleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).\n\nCommunity reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking \"Export Data\". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://xtracker.polymarket.com",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_illustrative",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "uncommitted_illustrative"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2545.12291,
      "volume_total_usd": 3115.200462,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
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