{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TF6CR6MMT7",
  "slug": "eth-updown-4h-1785859200",
  "question": "Will Ethereum's price be up at 4:00 PM ET compared to 12:00 PM ET on August 4?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto-prices",
    "ethereum",
    "price-movement",
    "intraday-trading",
    "2026",
    "crypto"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "This market tracks whether Ethereum's ETH/USD price rises or falls over a four-hour window on August 4, 2026. The open and close prices are sourced from Chainlink's ETH/USD data stream at 12:00 PM and 4:00 PM ET. Resolution is handled by Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Only one platform is active; no cross-platform structural comparison applies here.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-C723QWQ8N2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.31,
    "implied_probability": 0.31
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C723QWQ8N2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TF6CR6MMT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5c7e66faf8257d1feedef54ea5527dbee2041a2d10ba6464b9b84f7fecef872c",
      "question": "Ethereum Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Down\".\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd.\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Chainlink's ETH/USD data stream determines the Ethereum price at 12:00 PM and 4:00 PM ET on August 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-04T20:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-04T20:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Up\" if the Ethereum price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to \"Down\".\nThe resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ETH/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd.\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream ETH/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": "https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "data.chain.link",
            "url": "https://data.chain.link/streams/eth-usd",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Chainlink",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Chainlink",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "committed_secondhand",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 77,
        "caps": [
          "commitment_committed_secondhand"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": 11318.793604999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 11318.793604999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-943745735A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "direction",
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TF6CR6MMT7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}