{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
  "slug": "ethereum-above-on-august-5-2026",
  "question": "Ethereum price, August 5, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1800,
      1900
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1400,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1600,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1700,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1800,
        "prob": 97
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1900,
        "prob": 22
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2100,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2200,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2300,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2400,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026",
    "ethereum-spot"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Ethereum's spot price against eleven discrete strike thresholds on August 5, 2026. Each binary contract asks whether ETH exceeds a specific level from $1,400 to $2,400. Together they construct an implied probability distribution across that price range. Resolution uses the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET, verified through Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-LNKQY2V701",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.22,
    "implied_probability": 0.22
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KQDW9158C2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x11502ace7ea1fa2b065570811ac28d11c633c48e0a083560f477adcf275febb4",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,400: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1400,
      "question_id": "CMX-8554EF3037",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4FCGVG48Y3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xac1c7a163c79cee9bedecb6519f7f98e2046f2114556f0249cd352003d6a9e1a",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,500: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1000,
      "volume_total_usd": 1005,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500,
      "question_id": "CMX-3923E0DBB6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QSCDXKFKY3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x31b47db13f5eb1c836b5af79b01dbf1ec5e1dc0ad9c4fbdd9f9ddc42ac668313",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,600: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1017.015014,
      "volume_total_usd": 1055.055014,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1600,
      "question_id": "CMX-31C8AD9CF1",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8ZRS9W5VT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0a1f45e39ae456c2b520b5a6c89d4073b9310caac0d17371daffead59b6dbfee",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,700: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.997,
      "implied_probability": 0.997,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2999.7561619999997,
      "volume_total_usd": 6216.185459,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1700,
      "question_id": "CMX-3F9A331EC0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-09VQ1JNRJ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa9a53091ffd96627c37287e3854eda974963b4d60f86699857b3fe7aa4f5325a",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,800: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.969,
      "implied_probability": 0.969,
      "volume_24h_usd": 10097.487622,
      "volume_total_usd": 11229.545284000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1800,
      "question_id": "CMX-B880C88391",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LNKQY2V701",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xdbf15deafa96480685baf03010b454bc8d22120927624657e9fb926ed45d0166",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,900: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3355.1650950000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 3746.2026329999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1900,
      "question_id": "CMX-A098ED56FB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DZTBXH92G5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x72d950892bc2dedddf155ef6f191c026c9801dba1c4e34b03f2aae8002044cc0",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,000: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": 13286.464852,
      "volume_total_usd": 20126.591996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000,
      "question_id": "CMX-6D2E1047C8",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ethereum",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3SMG4BZS08",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x918a879da54e0017554fbc768b0d7cb9774a974a98db6a760ad2dd05f9dc4cfb",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
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          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
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          },
          {
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.002,
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      "volume_24h_usd": 2670.02,
      "volume_total_usd": 2675.02,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
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      "question_id": "CMX-097C4FAE90",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ethereum",
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0SCZRPHVR3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x097319e3c2cefe434c60b827f0c3b480965ec117c71b48fa64d400766f794a3a",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,200: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": 999.015,
      "volume_total_usd": 1812.9809999999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2200,
      "question_id": "CMX-3BC0C91DD6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CRCLJ44670",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7d058b8396e58dade5acff46393f2584f492041aacd231cab6dceb94f7b15aaf",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,300: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.011,
      "implied_probability": 0.011,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2089.9066629999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2300,
      "question_id": "CMX-93F62B9099",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "ethereum",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BGXV8QHTQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xefabd67bef8e0abc9f2ef03376ade19311d258f399eb217b5b312d5d7cb50c5f",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,400: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle closing price at 12:00 ET on August 5, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-05T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1268.692221,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2400,
      "question_id": "CMX-98DEA1B745",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-SHGBDRVVD2",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}