{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
  "slug": "ethereum-above-on-august-6-2026",
  "question": "Ethereum price, August 6, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1800,
      1900
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1400,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1500,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1600,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1700,
        "prob": 99
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1800,
        "prob": 90
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1900,
        "prob": 34
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2100,
        "prob": 1
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2200,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2400,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "ethereum",
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Ethereum's spot price clears discrete strike thresholds from $1,400 to $2,400 on August 6, 2026. Each binary resolves against the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET noon; the 11 strikes form an implied probability distribution across that price range. All 11 contracts settle via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. The spread between adjacent strikes prices the market's density around each $100 interval.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MX90FRBYD3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.34,
    "implied_probability": 0.34
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-21N6GB6MQ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x039a4908ffb50273df0a9b97d0cdce2b05c49f8c4a072c4c0eb8f14dfcccd145",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,400: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1400,
      "question_id": "CMX-55B9A8C840",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GQWHLZJLG4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a4a346a2abb64dfa1cb75b83db75a3d10494c46a30564dd7cd0f8300356edd5",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,500: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 5,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500,
      "question_id": "CMX-0F05A3CB74",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-871XCH7X83",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3c190847aff069b3ccf1e50dff2ecdb4aeb3d520999def102d6455db2987dc03",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,600: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.987,
      "implied_probability": 0.987,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 584.046307,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1600,
      "question_id": "CMX-46ADC8DBF6",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1FCVYH6DP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x83190f41fd4ac9eb1ff6156e99886955d3f2c3beb08db50e7dbcea3d5f208067",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,700: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.99,
      "implied_probability": 0.99,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 1092.2267860000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1700,
      "question_id": "CMX-EFA8612A31",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZFM24NJM36",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x32c06a2ae1debfc6be45bf5210ea791b8856c731d2002b376a74ec8d1b839f1b",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,800: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.9,
      "implied_probability": 0.9,
      "volume_24h_usd": 194.931072,
      "volume_total_usd": 1585.199767,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1800,
      "question_id": "CMX-800ECF85F7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MX90FRBYD3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xda10a08ead0cb603d77707b6df85ae84c8bf7fc3e051797cd4e23c1f070759b2",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,900: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.34,
      "implied_probability": 0.34,
      "volume_24h_usd": 4245.136017,
      "volume_total_usd": 4422.445245,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1900,
      "question_id": "CMX-14ADD28283",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FBCT5DY3N8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc9a9c3fc09b16222159dac223ee456cc38d704cb0d6858c3f5daf7b63bbd87c4",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,000: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.039,
      "implied_probability": 0.039,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6206.054652,
      "volume_total_usd": 7186.480145999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F607D23645",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2LYT7KGFT0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0606157b015e9858b4154529fe5a367de6efc95d3214528b051cb21d48ee8ccb",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,100: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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      "last_price": 0.009,
      "implied_probability": 0.009,
      "volume_24h_usd": 998.9619979999999,
      "volume_total_usd": 1015.073108,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2100,
      "question_id": "CMX-C2D0EB1359",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-D1CR8CVNL0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x407ecfc5623216700daa2e49ca5ad89bff5b4bcadac319d8296f030c5848f1d8",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,200: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
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            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
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      "rcg": {
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        "caps": [],
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 208,
      "volume_total_usd": 213,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2200,
      "question_id": "CMX-B52425B56F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H9T5XQLNG6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x86795615f81fa543309b6d33796a2b97e84e860fc48019abd5c9e63978f8f1bb",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,300: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
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        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": 47.699999999999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 79.714,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2300,
      "question_id": "CMX-0A8080945C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-N6Q08S0MD1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa4af84e637d91c366da1ac923f775d6c51e118ee786c7a442a8c73bca28bf09d",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 6?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2,400: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on August 6, 2026 resolves whether the listed asset closes above the specified price threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-06T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.005,
      "implied_probability": 0.005,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2147.674333,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2400,
      "question_id": "CMX-B0087C0ADE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-YB0H562YP7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}