{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SW5YVHZZ9",
  "slug": "ethereum-above-on-june-14-2026",
  "question": "Ethereum price, June 14, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1600,
      1700
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1100,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1200,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1300,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1400,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1500,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1600,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1700,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1800,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1900,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2100,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-prediction",
    "short-term-trading",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Ethereum's spot price clears discrete strike thresholds on June 14, 2026. Eleven binary contracts span $1,100 to $2,100 in $100 increments, forming an implied price distribution across strikes. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 PM ET. Monotonic pricing across strikes is a consistency constraint traders can arbitrage if violated.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-F8B5GSM9Y1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-197LHBRZD5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SW5YVHZZ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6b9ffc2559c30be79ac8521427d447316b1996657f026d187bb37eba5b162b81",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 14?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,100: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on June 14, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 300.37199999999996,
      "volume_total_usd": 346.7516,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1100,
      "question_id": "CMX-26659AABD7",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-H7FP3K08B4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SW5YVHZZ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xa352d02b1f988e41dd42cdd18ad640d7f553ba921a205118d665ca4cad75bdbe",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 14?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,200: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on June 14, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 3110.537548,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1200,
      "question_id": "CMX-223BE0FE1F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9V9WLVFPQ1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SW5YVHZZ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x853b0b080115f1b8bf1157075f59c165d9b8104a0b4c2dc6dfb1380443fde0f5",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 14?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,300: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on June 14, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 199.99688700000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 13763.874814,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1300,
      "question_id": "CMX-FF101C3DD0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P5XRGBM055",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SW5YVHZZ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xaed2ad7a7dbc1040dd2cb2844319f8a3c461b1bad13f255f39ed856ae5858078",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 14?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,400: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on June 14, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 630.5629650000001,
      "volume_total_usd": 16300.279883999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1400,
      "question_id": "CMX-59098941D5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3KG4LVFLP4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SW5YVHZZ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xabf558f07c763719e8e125bc8b47c4c090d50012121e317b74b17410e64475dd",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 14?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,500: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on June 14, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 694.746594,
      "volume_total_usd": 8362.010175,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500,
      "question_id": "CMX-D8F0AE5A56",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-26PV6YBSW1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SW5YVHZZ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8f88d617444e51c6d3f3a152350c6623a842d068ba063e6d2e56c123d4cd5946",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 14?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,600: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 PM ET on June 14, 2026 determines if the price exceeded the specified threshold.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3560.0061210000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 5504.414104000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1600,
      "question_id": "CMX-7C12F0409C",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F8B5GSM9Y1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3SW5YVHZZ9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x71d63bafbbb617c115f0ad494c1e4f88075841dbf08121220f4ddcf9dc586fa5",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-14T16:00:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
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      "question_id": "CMX-B09DF955D0",
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0x6d71d686f65103113daf544fbd7b12f7817768b2b59ad6cab8ce1ba3f922174b",
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}