{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDRW6BTCR4",
  "slug": "ethereum-above-on-june-16-2026",
  "question": "Ethereum price, June 16, 2026",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      1700,
      1800
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 1100,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1200,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1300,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1400,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1500,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1600,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1700,
        "prob": 100
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1800,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1900,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000,
        "prob": 0
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2100,
        "prob": 0
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "ethereum",
    "crypto-prices",
    "price-prediction",
    "2026",
    "ethereum-spot"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether the Ethereum spot price exceeds eleven discrete strike thresholds on June 16, 2026. Each contract is a binary at a fixed strike level; together they form an implied probability distribution across the $1,100–$2,100 range. The cross-platform insight here is structural: all eleven markets price the same directional question at different strike thresholds, constructing a synthetic price curve rather than a single binary outcome. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing the Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close at 12:00 ET on June 16, 2026.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-585NMHMNJ7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BYSPD3FW43",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDRW6BTCR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0acf7ffb5ce59b0b406eff4532cc7f27f73bf43fe30a7dc91103d3562585ed41",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,100 on June 16?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,100: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on June 16, 2026 determines if the listed price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 8.006,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1100,
      "question_id": "CMX-3FA11CC6FE",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7YD5PW2M46",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDRW6BTCR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5b7ca08ae7caed68e97eb233f346dbfa319a5f72025a24dcae48d425a256312d",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,200 on June 16?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,200: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on June 16, 2026 determines if the listed price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 286.745255,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1200,
      "question_id": "CMX-FFB479DB39",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9Y74H10Q29",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDRW6BTCR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1b5e505e00ceb66de9d045da29d5c0ceef4ec99f69f77f6243f8526d2605560d",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,300 on June 16?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,300: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on June 16, 2026 determines if the listed price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1917.522923,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1300,
      "question_id": "CMX-4894A5D487",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PF26KLHQQ6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDRW6BTCR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf2238061596aa13e37378f5fa60fa4b165eb136a93cdd6d6f4cedb2e903910ff",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,400 on June 16?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,400: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on June 16, 2026 determines if the listed price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 8499.403847,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1400,
      "question_id": "CMX-9DAF09B693",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-82XL27DXM4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDRW6BTCR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xee0b508297fcc4f6d95d64f0af8607d324287db6ff4398fe64359225f37194bd",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 16?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,500: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on June 16, 2026 determines if the listed price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6861.261103,
      "volume_total_usd": 7942.267845,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500,
      "question_id": "CMX-DAEC7D1C03",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-377911C3V8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDRW6BTCR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3bddd0381a3f49510f00cb894ed9ec2a8ba0da9eaf08d80c4eb42004a9fcee62",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 16?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1,600: Binance ETH/USDT 1-minute candle close price at 12:00 ET noon on June 16, 2026 determines if the listed price level is exceeded.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 672.560575,
      "volume_total_usd": 2208.0815139999995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1600,
      "question_id": "CMX-0A674B2698",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eth",
        "ethereum",
        "price"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-431TX193K1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-KDRW6BTCR4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7318c84f217a20c2aec0ff253027d882c6aeaa309ba8c62152ca5781e3b643fd",
      "question": "Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 16?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\n",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-16T16:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final \"Close\" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"Close\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with \"1m\" and \"Candles\" selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.\n\nPrice precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
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          {
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    {
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      "platform_market_id": "0xeb80db41981e88f834d60365c60c8a30c03cef00a352462572ecf44cee380d9e",
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}