{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-25F0GNC1P7",
  "slug": "ethereum-all-time-high-by",
  "question": "Will Ethereum reach a new all-time high by 2026?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "crypto-prices",
    "ethereum",
    "price-milestone",
    "ath",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track whether Ethereum reaches a new all-time high price by each quarterly deadline in 2026. The four contracts form an implicit term structure, with longer-dated markets carrying higher cumulative probability. All four resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against observed spot price data. The March 31, 2026 contract closed and resolved on April 1, 2026; its outcome is factually settled.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-G4FJL6CFC6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G4FJL6CFC6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-25F0GNC1P7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5fb29d64ed9f375baf50c3768d56f72093c18c285abf1f20d56f2ee2458b7639",
      "question": "Ethereum all time high by March 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "March 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-04-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-01T08:27:09Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 1018199.7339660029,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B71457999D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ath",
        "crypto",
        "eth",
        "ethereum"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-510111K758",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-25F0GNC1P7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x384a78b847edbafb7f4542dcde7000f0042d08a43ad12f11879050fbbf06b0ee",
      "question": "Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5101.77121,
      "volume_total_usd": 402898.99723499996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-78EDEC9CA3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ath",
        "crypto",
        "eth",
        "ethereum"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YMLJSFRR16",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-25F0GNC1P7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x710ce15deba099608dd256df512394d11f8d02e5c38644cf88c9cf0752254d7f",
      "question": "Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "September 30, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.013,
      "implied_probability": 0.013,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 288073.4655199998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-60C8E8B563",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ath",
        "crypto",
        "eth",
        "ethereum"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FWQKZJR1T4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-25F0GNC1P7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4ac1e1a9a61da989b9dfe246332309bd5e4a2284fd9d4998526fe6e38f6bfe8f",
      "question": "Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/US",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31, 2026: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT between 16 December '25 16:30 and 11:59PM ET on the date specified in the title has a final “High” price that is higher than any previous Binance 1 minute candle's \"High\" price on any prior date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT \"High\" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar.\n\nPlease note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other sources or spot markets.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "binance.com",
            "url": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "Binance",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Binance",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 91,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.05,
      "implied_probability": 0.05,
      "volume_24h_usd": 224.2,
      "volume_total_usd": 546878.6008170008,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6EC74710F5",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "ath",
        "crypto",
        "eth",
        "ethereum"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-510111K758",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T05:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-G4FJL6CFC6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-01T08:27:09Z",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-06-12",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-25F0GNC1P7",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}