{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-5VYX642RK0",
  "slug": "eunato-country-announces-peacekeeping-force-in-ukraine-before-2027",
  "question": "Will an EU/NATO country announce a peacekeeping force in Ukraine by 2026?",
  "category": "geopolitics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "ukraine-peacekeeping",
    "eu-nato-intervention",
    "geopolitics",
    "military-deployment",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether a NATO or EU member country formally announces a peacekeeping troop deployment to Ukraine. The June 30 contract prices near-term probability; the December 31 contract prices the full-year window. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official government announcements. Resolution requires a formalized deployment announcement, not a policy statement or informal pledge.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-P25PKRMBX6",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.002
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  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P25PKRMBX6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5VYX642RK0",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1fa4c5e080e59674d14625faa0360cc7716c92fc063cfdb8506af2dd5af469ab",
      "question": "EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.\n\nAnnouncements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count\n\nThe primary resolution source for t",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Official announcement by a NATO or EU member country of a formalized peacekeeping troop deployment to Ukraine, verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 1, 2026, 2:20 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-01T06:20:52Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.\n\nAnnouncements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "official information from NATO",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
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        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 397133.8066169996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eu",
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        "geopolitics",
        "nato",
        "peacekeeping",
        "ukraine"
      ],
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    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8P9M8DML93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-5VYX642RK0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x17bfc4455ae7c4a8bafa37d5581c21307bb9b1ef298798d81ffc10009fa79c91",
      "question": "EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.\n\nAnnouncements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count\n\nThe primary resolution source f",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "December 31: Official announcement by a NATO or EU member country of a formalized peacekeeping troop deployment to Ukraine, verified by UMA Optimistic Oracle by July 1, 2026, 2:20 AM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-12-31T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if any NATO or EU member country officially announces that they will be sending troops to Ukraine as part of a peacekeeping force by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.\n\nA qualifying announcement must be part of a formal agreement between a NATO or EU member country and another country or international organization or otherwise indicative of a formalized policy.\n\nAnnouncements which are statements of intent, contingent, or otherwise are not indicative of a formalized policy will not count\n\nThe primary resolution source for this market will be official information from NATO, the EU, or member states of either entity, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
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            "name": "official information from NATO",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 64554.49120499999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "eu nato peacekeeping",
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        "nato",
        "peacekeeping",
        "ukraine"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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  "resolution_log": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P25PKRMBX6",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T06:20:52Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-5VYX642RK0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}