{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
  "slug": "eurozone-gdp-growth-in-q2-2026",
  "question": "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 exceed 0.5%?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "economic-policy",
    "economy",
    "eurozone-gdp",
    "quarterly-growth",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Eurozone quarter-on-quarter GDP growth in Q2 2026. Eurostat's Preliminary Flash Estimate, published July 30, 2026, is the authoritative source. Polymarket structures the event as seven mutually exclusive rate-level tiers spanning contraction to above 2.0%. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6M2H6VJX20",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.1,
    "implied_probability": 0.1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0NV9JF5188",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x332795e682556e4efec2cfa897e6be12f7793d79af3baa1e5ff303497e0ba8f8",
      "question": "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be less than 0.0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is sche",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<0.0%: Eurostat's Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 2026, scheduled July 30, 2026, determines the Eurozone's year-over-year seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate, with brackets resolving to the higher range if the value falls exactly between two.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nThis market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu",
            "url": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ec.europa.eu",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.135,
      "implied_probability": 0.135,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1780.700399,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-95743505B9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eurozone",
        "eurozone gdp growth",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4YXF0KLNF2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xed252bf95df9e888ec5b4b5136afb3ab0845c82fe17bc08d0329eb22f835d53c",
      "question": "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.3%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is sche",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.0-0.3%: Eurostat's Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 2026, scheduled July 30, 2026, determines the Eurozone's year-over-year seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate, with brackets resolving to the higher range if the value falls exactly between two.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nThis market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu",
            "url": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ec.europa.eu",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 3076.3956289999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6AD91040F0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eurozone",
        "eurozone gdp growth",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-RH1Z6WK1D2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc7278221c82a892056250c1962fe445b6c1ec79c4bd956bd4b9f9a30c05e3127",
      "question": "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.7%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is sche",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.4-0.7%: Eurostat's Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 2026, scheduled July 30, 2026, determines the Eurozone's year-over-year seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate, with brackets resolving to the higher range if the value falls exactly between two.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nThis market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu",
            "url": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ec.europa.eu",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.35,
      "implied_probability": 0.35,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2286.756665,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6AD91040F0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eurozone",
        "eurozone gdp growth",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6M2H6VJX20",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4d6bde89ed147bbcd0ebf677a87bbce6061da030f500998b32b0aa44f50523e7",
      "question": "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is sche",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0.8-1.1%: Eurostat's Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 2026, scheduled July 30, 2026, determines the Eurozone's year-over-year seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate, with brackets resolving to the higher range if the value falls exactly between two.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nThis market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu",
            "url": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ec.europa.eu",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.1,
      "implied_probability": 0.1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8035.895973,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6162A08207",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eurozone",
        "eurozone gdp growth",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WM2647LYT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x87a5c99bd094a04016cdb92924a8da7f448d7f015e4ca22060b6bf8533a6da97",
      "question": "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is sche",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.2-1.5%: Eurostat's Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 2026, scheduled July 30, 2026, determines the Eurozone's year-over-year seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate, with brackets resolving to the higher range if the value falls exactly between two.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nThis market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu",
            "url": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ec.europa.eu",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.012,
      "implied_probability": 0.012,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 219.55,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6AD91040F0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eurozone",
        "eurozone gdp growth",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LGBHNYPF22",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x005609b51e824a123f6a3589a43adfbdb72ddfe89f4748e25b7242ccfe2246b1",
      "question": "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.9%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is sche",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.6-1.9%: Eurostat's Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 2026, scheduled July 30, 2026, determines the Eurozone's year-over-year seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate, with brackets resolving to the higher range if the value falls exactly between two.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nThis market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu",
            "url": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ec.europa.eu",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "volume_24h_usd": 49,
      "volume_total_usd": 359.85999999999996,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-6AD91040F0",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eurozone",
        "eurozone gdp growth",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-C13XR0HNQ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0e7854c0cd56963325cf92d3703fdebd58a41c41a3a9b1efc497d0bc3643b259",
      "question": "Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is sche",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "2.0%+: Eurostat's Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 2026, scheduled July 30, 2026, determines the Eurozone's year-over-year seasonally adjusted GDP growth rate, with brackets resolving to the higher range if the value falls exactly between two.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-30T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q2 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q2 of 2026, scheduled for July 30, 2026.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nThe GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators\n\nIf no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.\n\nThis market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.\n\nNote: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu",
            "url": "https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "ec.europa.eu",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 93,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.018,
      "implied_probability": 0.018,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 333.077724,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2,
      "question_id": "CMX-76F8788367",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "eurozone",
        "eurozone gdp growth",
        "gdp",
        "growth",
        "q2-2026"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-2KZP8ZSK32",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}