{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-73F27SY5L8",
  "slug": "fannie-mae-ipo-closing-market-cap",
  "question": "Will Fannie Mae conduct an initial public offering with a closing market capitalization by June 30, 2026?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "fannie-mae",
    "ipo",
    "market-capitalization",
    "finance",
    "us-equities"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Fannie Mae's closing market capitalization on its IPO day, contingent on the IPO occurring by June 30, 2026. Polymarket structures the event as six discrete capitalization tiers ranging from below $200B to $400B or greater, plus a binary no-IPO outcome. All seven markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, using shares outstanding multiplied by first-day closing price as the authoritative calculation. The no-IPO leg functions as a hedge against conservatorship exit delays past the June 30, 2026 deadline.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-JY73BTJVK9",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7GNRFX7MM0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73F27SY5L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf2c4bb1eb27df79f346fc6b029e8f7de62ac1b7146d50e5883cff439bb909e34",
      "question": "Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be less than $200B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be base",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<200B: The listed company's market capitalization at closing price on its first trading day, calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by closing share price, per official exchange data by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 16.56,
      "volume_total_usd": 52449.37231899999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": 200,
      "question_id": "CMX-61C6E40640",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fannie mae",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PJVSJ8RTB9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73F27SY5L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9a03107f7ca576da11692abcf083f0c066073de36cf7384bcaf04ed49f58aece",
      "question": "Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be base",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "200–250B: The listed company's market capitalization at closing price on its first trading day, calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by closing share price, per official exchange data by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 42.17,
      "volume_total_usd": 53654.61292000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-61C6E40640",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fannie mae",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3R00PBPKF8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73F27SY5L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1735634c6ad777e59af284deeee31beeb6afeeb573fdc390cd92605822807733",
      "question": "Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $250B and $300B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be base",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "250–300B: The listed company's market capitalization at closing price on its first trading day, calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by closing share price, per official exchange data by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 16981.859010000004,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3516FB8DE2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fannie mae",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JY73BTJVK9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73F27SY5L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1721f89383f83b8c744d4b88986c0a1abd484d55812239d03a852bbff052ebc6",
      "question": "Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $300B and $350B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be base",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "300–350B: The listed company's market capitalization at closing price on its first trading day, calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by closing share price, per official exchange data by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 3,
      "volume_total_usd": 111252.84011799989,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-3516FB8DE2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fannie mae",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-DZ94TQV301",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73F27SY5L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x46bc4df0107a47236e7c3c895839a5306b5b11b354c9d04b413572a91507e283",
      "question": "Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be between $350B and $400B at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be base",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "350–400B: The listed company's market capitalization at closing price on its first trading day, calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by closing share price, per official exchange data by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 17.94,
      "volume_total_usd": 16219.200485999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-662B132F8A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fannie mae",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XK5WM2K4P0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73F27SY5L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe6669e8cf6c69a2ea4643fe1afecff4c1006bfb39c4e78518aac12ebc7f9e368",
      "question": "Will Fannie Mae’s market cap be $400B or greater at market close on IPO day?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be base",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "400B+: The listed company's market capitalization at closing price on its first trading day, calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by closing share price, per official exchange data by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 38.059999999999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 62476.59347499995,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400,
      "question_id": "CMX-11259E7CF2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fannie mae",
        "ipo",
        "market cap"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KH7BV01130",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-73F27SY5L8",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x48cafe0a0690db8fe052c19afe84ead3f32314cac97015ea8c68a442a77d58a2",
      "question": "Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be base",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "No IPO by June 30, 2026: The listed company's market capitalization at closing price on its first trading day, calculated as shares outstanding multiplied by closing share price, per official exchange data by June 30, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve based on Fannie Mae's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.\n\nIf no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to \"No IPO by June 30, 2026\".\n\nMarket capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.\n\nIf the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nResolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.\n\nIn the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Fannie Mae’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "another reliable source",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
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