{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
  "slug": "fed-decisions-apr-jul",
  "question": "Will the Federal Reserve make decisions regarding interest rates between April and July?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fed",
    "fed-rates",
    "fomc",
    "monetary-policy",
    "interest-rate-decisions"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the sequence of Federal Reserve policy decisions across three FOMC meetings: April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 2026. Nine mutually exclusive Polymarket contracts span every cut-pause permutation plus an \"Other\" catch-all, forming a complete probability distribution over policy paths. Each contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against Federal Reserve Board of Governors announcements. The resolve_at timestamp of April 29, 2026 reflects early settlement of at least one contract upon the first decision.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-XC8TVWM868",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.733,
    "implied_probability": 0.733
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZK7M5VJB11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x61133f1fd3957b316afa2f8c172878fc7933d2c7d62ceda06843162b50bbe134",
      "question": "Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target fede",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut–Pause–Pause: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' announcements following FOMC meetings on April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound remains unchanged at all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-29T21:47:34Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 10772.686518,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-77D528B23B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve policy",
        "policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KS2G9G9RT7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x63fa88e1141a284ab4e78b321f0d6a772416e1766ab23c241e0b0809946883bb",
      "question": "Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target fede",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut–Pause–Cut: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' announcements following FOMC meetings on April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound remains unchanged at all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-29T21:46:36Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 6128.237614000001,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-B01A8F415B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve policy",
        "policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BMRDB17215",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe1d008c0a97787f6146fd65c368c9a127a94ce6c97f202a9619afa33e8e6e027",
      "question": "Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target fede",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut–Cut–Pause: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' announcements following FOMC meetings on April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound remains unchanged at all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-29T21:46:34Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 8247.6811,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-A4F57F97AF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve policy",
        "policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7PMDCZ76J9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xedfcb448b21d1896bd8eb45aa97b2ed828e61bef831c5926380b5326931b554e",
      "question": "Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target fede",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut–Cut–Cut: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' announcements following FOMC meetings on April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound remains unchanged at all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-04-29T21:46:36Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.01,
      "implied_probability": 0.01,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 14836.763689,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-44E42C5A01",
      "also_on": [
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZFPTB1ZZM9",
          "price": 0.01
        },
        {
          "venue": "kalshi",
          "market_id": "CM-MKT-5G46LGFR63",
          "price": 0.25
        }
      ],
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve policy",
        "policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XC8TVWM868",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x647fe897e10ecde7f5bf00b420cd00b76634b7de8830ae683136c9d3102c5532",
      "question": "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target fede",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pause–Pause–Pause: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' announcements following FOMC meetings on April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound remains unchanged at all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.733,
      "implied_probability": 0.733,
      "volume_24h_usd": 2623.368925,
      "volume_total_usd": 454249.0763390005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-EBFB22ABE3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve policy",
        "policy",
        "rates"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7C8JXB21S7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcc4d677ee6e9ccf49ef775ff434ee1e3075a006a81e1d5032f0343964a00bdac",
      "question": "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target fede",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pause–Pause–Cut: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' announcements following FOMC meetings on April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound remains unchanged at all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_total_usd": 83018.30933199984,
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      "also_on": null,
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        "federal reserve policy",
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        "rates"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F27FD3N0R3",
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      "question": "Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Pause–Cut–Pause: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' announcements following FOMC meetings on April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound remains unchanged at all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-17T20:06:17Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
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            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "volume_24h_usd": null,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "also_on": [
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      "tags": [
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        "rates"
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      "platform": "polymarket",
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      "question": "Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target fede",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
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      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-17T20:06:17Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "federal reserve policy",
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        "rates"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-K403RD91W6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7618e80c410d107b9929455007e4ccf649630ac6aec6a76ebcd04ae9946dd514",
      "question": "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target fede",
      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "underlying_reference": "Other: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' announcements following FOMC meetings on April 28-29, June 16-17, and July 28-29, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound remains unchanged at all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-07-29T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: April 28-29; June 16-17; and July 28-29.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F27FD3N0R3",
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      "event_type": "status_change",
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-17T20:06:17Z",
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      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-ZK7M5VJB11",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-29T21:47:34Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KS2G9G9RT7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-29T21:46:36Z",
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      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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      "recorded_at": "2026-07-23",
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7PMDCZ76J9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
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      "source": "platform_api",
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    {
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      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": "2026-04-29T21:46:34Z",
      "deadline_at": null,
      "occurred_basis": "venue_settlement",
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    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-C0ZG1HDJQ1",
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}