{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
  "slug": "fed-decisions-juloct-20260617191209856",
  "question": "Will the Federal Reserve make decisions on monetary policy during July through October?",
  "category": "economics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "economics",
    "fed",
    "fomc",
    "fed-rates",
    "monetary-policy",
    "2026"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the sequence of Federal Reserve Board of Governors FOMC policy decisions across three meetings: July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026. Nine mutually exclusive Polymarket contracts cover every permutation of cuts and pauses, plus an \"other\" catch-all. Each contract resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against official FOMC announcements. Together the contracts function as a probability distribution over discrete policy paths rather than a single rate-level forecast.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3271P03DR2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.7,
    "implied_probability": 0.7
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3C8KLCZ840",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x41b2cb841d4e8e9bf44f8cea3085c0fdf9d695814c8d8dcf3f40cae7eeb41d8b",
      "question": "Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the targ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut–Pause–Pause: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' FOMC meeting announcements on July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound changes differ across all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 7.45,
      "volume_total_usd": 15502.181782000005,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4B70B8921E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3LZ02YYXR2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5a8bf9c072ab30a9a1290542b8e3da697e86acecda3c86a047ce6348095c40f6",
      "question": "Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the targ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut–Pause–Cut: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' FOMC meeting announcements on July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound changes differ across all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 9608.648436,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-DA7FA2D457",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4P4YMXPKR6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6bab20ac0b40e6a1e1821998a1500748b34d7139333e102dfb186c7a524fa2f3",
      "question": "Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the targ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut–Cut–Pause: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' FOMC meeting announcements on July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound changes differ across all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 9144.862618,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-4617E5E15E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YT24MD15B7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7f5dae35ef2fe02bedb4293d3303c51db28060bc738f38483a86acca0d7a6645",
      "question": "Will the Fed Cut–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the targ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Cut–Cut–Cut: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' FOMC meeting announcements on July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound changes differ across all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
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        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        ],
        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 7550.090748,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-AF97F0E6A3",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M241S13GN8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x372ab700cf01a9411d79dbfe13bf952c29f3be870d498313510f6c2aec360b13",
      "question": "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the targ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pause–Pause–Pause: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' FOMC meeting announcements on July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound changes differ across all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "federalreserve.gov",
            "url": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC)",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": 14640.183955,
      "volume_total_usd": 162099.62866399987,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": "CMX-BB8E00CCD9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fed",
        "federal reserve funds rate",
        "interest-rates",
        "monetary-policy"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9ZVD3WSHR9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x12b3c8b27d00011e11fa342e2b0be4800d2f2744aff2b76ee73b337c05e3a0bb",
      "question": "Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the targ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Pause–Pause–Cut: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' FOMC meeting announcements on July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound changes differ across all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "question": "Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
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        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd1798ab3998100183e7f78d85f515a37fc58372278b7ff339dea548af56baee2",
      "question": "Will the Fed Pause–Cut–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the targ",
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      "underlying_reference": "Pause–Cut–Cut: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' FOMC meeting announcements on July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound changes differ across all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-8SJXTZ1ZM1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xd32ac3b2db228eb03d6385b5f0747b7013e0ff717a20e63c75fc74824b91d6b2",
      "question": "Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?",
      "description": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the targ",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Other: The Federal Reserve Board of Governors' FOMC meeting announcements on July 28-29, September 15-16, and October 27-28, 2026 determine whether the target federal funds rate upper bound changes differ across all three decisions.",
      "close_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-28T23:59:00Z",
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      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds rate. The decisions on the target federal funds rate are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the decisions made by the next three Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings: July 28-29; September 15-16; and October 27-28.\n\nA qualifying cut occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is lower compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying hike occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is higher compared to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nA qualifying pause occurs when the new upper bound of the target federal funds rate is equal to the level it was prior to the respective meeting.\n\nIf the Fed publishes a different combination than any listed, this market will resolve to \"Other\". Any rate hike will be encompassed by \"Other\".\n\nEmergency rate cuts outside the regularly scheduled meetings will not be considered.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meetings:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm\n\nThe level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve:\nhttps://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm",
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