{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-NQNY75FVY1",
  "slug": "federal-gas-tax-suspended-by",
  "question": "Will the Federal Gas Tax be suspended by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "trump",
    "congress",
    "politics",
    "2026-election",
    "fiscal-policy",
    "energy-markets"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track whether the U.S. federal gasoline excise tax is suspended by a specified date. The June 30, 2026 contract prices near-term suspension probability; the November 2, 2026 contract prices a longer policy window. The structural difference is deadline tenor: one prices an early legislative trigger, the other prices a midterm-cycle horizon. Both resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-15427B4081",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0,
    "implied_probability": 0
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-V3ZXVQWHM6",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NQNY75FVY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x638d1796353e74b0c3761686f0e83e9c3330841e547663bab97902b31f7e2bd9",
      "question": "Will the federal gas tax be suspended by November 2, 2026?",
      "description": "On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "November 2: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-11-02T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-02T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "Congress.gov",
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            "url": "https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22",
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            "url": "Congress.gov",
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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          {
            "name": "official information from the government of the United States",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "Congress.gov",
        "source_mechanism": "precedence",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 2163.382902,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "federal gas tax",
        "gas-tax",
        "us-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-15427B4081",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-NQNY75FVY1",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x0a28812eeb15d7f7d6c768c2cf51c719170c8d9ff4bcbbbce98f57b5d80d0f7d",
      "question": "Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?",
      "description": "On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "June 30: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax.\n\nThis market will resolve to \"Yes\" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to \"No\".\n\nQualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify.\n\nThe primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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            "url": "Congress.gov",
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            "url": null,
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        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 84,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 325,
      "volume_total_usd": 15839.512772000007,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "energy",
        "federal gas tax",
        "gas-tax",
        "us-policy"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-15427B4081",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "outcome": "NO",
      "resolved_at": "2026-06-30T00:00:00Z",
      "final_price": 0,
      "recorded_at": "2026-07-06",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-NQNY75FVY1",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}