{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
  "slug": "felix-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Felix Protocol fully diluted valuation, one day after launch",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "LADDER",
  "ladder_distribution": {
    "direction": "above",
    "implied_band": [
      null,
      25000000
    ],
    "strikes": [
      {
        "threshold": 25000000,
        "prob": 27
      },
      {
        "threshold": 50000000,
        "prob": 21
      },
      {
        "threshold": 100000000,
        "prob": 12
      },
      {
        "threshold": 300000000,
        "prob": 4
      },
      {
        "threshold": 500000000,
        "prob": 3
      },
      {
        "threshold": 800000000,
        "prob": 6
      },
      {
        "threshold": 1000000000,
        "prob": 5
      },
      {
        "threshold": 2000000000,
        "prob": 1
      }
    ]
  },
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "launch-valuation",
    "fdv-prediction",
    "felix-protocol",
    "market-cap",
    "token-economics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track Felix Protocol's fully diluted valuation at 4:00 PM ET one day after its token launch. Eight binary strike thresholds span $25M to $2B, forming an implied FDV distribution across a single ladder of Polymarket contracts. Each resolves via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle using the most liquid price source multiplied by total token supply. No close or resolve timestamps are available, so settlement timing cannot be confirmed from current data.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-1WGXGNWC46",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.14,
    "implied_probability": 0.14
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R6GD00Q9Q8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8de626ceac669817677f32ce7e4150e025181a484a7b1b203e3cb8741392f9d7",
      "question": "Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 202",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source for Felix Protocol's token multiplied by total token supply at 4:00 PM ET one day after the token's public launch.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 50,
      "volume_total_usd": 42682.83710800001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 50000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-217B6FE99E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "felix",
        "felix protocol fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1WGXGNWC46",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbb1609990e3ebd9ba46896ff04b44e18ad82fc8b0650c11c084dd4f4540be208",
      "question": "Felix Protocol FDV above $25M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 202",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source for Felix Protocol's token multiplied by total token supply at 4:00 PM ET one day after the token's public launch.",
      "close_at": null,
      "resolve_at": null,
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.14,
      "implied_probability": 0.14,
      "volume_24h_usd": 240.99,
      "volume_total_usd": 86877.87881900002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 25000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-3A0CECDB4D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "felix",
        "felix protocol fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HMY56CS5T9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xcadbdb7e594cb571b4cb303c509b89484517b1d1230b32fef42183053ab337f4",
      "question": "Felix Protocol FDV above $100M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 202",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source for Felix Protocol's token multiplied by total token supply at 4:00 PM ET one day after the token's public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.051,
      "implied_probability": 0.051,
      "volume_24h_usd": 57.13,
      "volume_total_usd": 41440.696208999994,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 100000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CFF06A34E4",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "felix",
        "felix protocol fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1DGQV63KP2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x099ee2862b7244afc8a9b3237c165ffd991a182216f9ba3a1a0b21d91ccf6a80",
      "question": "Felix Protocol FDV above $500M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 202",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source for Felix Protocol's token multiplied by total token supply at 4:00 PM ET one day after the token's public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15631.039445999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A371C90E9F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "felix",
        "felix protocol fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-QCLDRX6HQ7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc5b2864747b1dfb47ec4c0b2d837c4dfa1b2f4b18916efb849fac31830542c75",
      "question": "Felix Protocol FDV above $1B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 202",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source for Felix Protocol's token multiplied by total token supply at 4:00 PM ET one day after the token's public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.019,
      "implied_probability": 0.019,
      "volume_24h_usd": 236.945,
      "volume_total_usd": 45225.208198999964,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-19648868D9",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "felix",
        "felix protocol fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MJKNSVJ8C7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2eff82b74acbd2dd3a3335540a4402b2cd1db65e03acf33ff2fb1baaef80b96d",
      "question": "Felix Protocol FDV above $300M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 202",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source for Felix Protocol's token multiplied by total token supply at 4:00 PM ET one day after the token's public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.041,
      "implied_probability": 0.041,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 15469.521268000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-CA08468FB2",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "felix",
        "felix protocol fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PKW43G3CY9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xceb97ea935b3a028af06390154cb9acd876d35d28101510e0b576694400670e8",
      "question": "Felix Protocol FDV above $800M one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 202",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source for Felix Protocol's token multiplied by total token supply at 4:00 PM ET one day after the token's public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_source_stated",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "none",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "none",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 34,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "none"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.056,
      "implied_probability": 0.056,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8381.886453999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8AF6D04998",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "felix",
        "felix protocol fdv",
        "launch",
        "protocol"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-J5VP2CVBL5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M27LL17Y67",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x96ebe822f17b6e6daf18670744dbb7605c032762c8b774cb705d35d822b4e1d5",
      "question": "Felix Protocol FDV above $2B one day after launch?",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 202",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The most liquid price source for Felix Protocol's token multiplied by total token supply at 4:00 PM ET one day after the token's public launch.",
      "close_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Felix's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nThe token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Felix Protocol doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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