{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
  "slug": "fl-02-republican-primary-winner-20260717204308964",
  "question": "Will the Republican primary winner be determined in FL-02?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "florida",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026",
    "nominee"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee outcome for Florida's 2nd Congressional District primary, closing August 18, 2026. All 14 contracts are Polymarket binary markets resolved via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Each contract prices one candidate's nomination probability; together they form an exhaustive, mutually exclusive set. Placeholder slots (Candidate A through E) accommodate late entrants not yet named at contract creation.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VG47XSWS48",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.32,
    "implied_probability": 0.32
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  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-04TLBQDYZ0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x27c7221e0b3dc8e611df662c4ba88cd9600c6c5b5c231d8fe03c0b06e2fa6c0d",
      "question": "Will Keith Gross be the FL-02 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Keith Gross: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.6,
      "implied_probability": 0.6,
      "volume_24h_usd": 103.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 7766.865302999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl-02",
        "florida",
        "keith gross",
        "primary",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-8RCRGXFXC9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x25a83ae5b4685245693148fb68e594727aa37857de02e00f2195217e81714d3c",
      "question": "Will Lee Jones be the FL-02 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lee Jones: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0.03,
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-9QDG1NHNZ3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7bb0e3d5c4fddaeb80de3c689e1fb94dee6b6241fefc8b0254795b664648d218",
      "question": "Will Nick Lewis be the FL-02 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Nick Lewis: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JBGKJLH8S8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x991a79d5c932f8b0919bf3ecea87cf96c7e3db84194e2223fbd29114e17fd4c5",
      "question": "Will Luke Murphy be the FL-02 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Luke Murphy: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.006,
      "implied_probability": 0.006,
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 436.52,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "florida",
        "luke murphy",
        "primary",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-74KBDBNVT1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1a7f2096e3617231fbac143fee9eda870e03ac50431d11038c80572c54dbb688",
      "question": "Will Jim Norton be the FL-02 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jim Norton: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.025,
      "implied_probability": 0.025,
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 558.410688,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-FNMD6J2MW4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xedc45fbeeace45fcffce1898a36047a06f1124917e9fb65f59fb86162cf79251",
      "question": "Will Evan Power be the FL-02 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Evan Power: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
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        "source_quality": null,
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.04,
      "implied_probability": 0.04,
      "volume_24h_usd": 37.9,
      "volume_total_usd": 2443.560739,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "fl-02",
        "florida",
        "primary",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VG47XSWS48",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf45ea40c1c1dafa07037523ffce5f0c998bca21b3cfc36a28bfb01acb1451b12",
      "question": "Will Austin Rogers be the FL-02 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Austin Rogers: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.32,
      "implied_probability": 0.32,
      "volume_24h_usd": 171.4,
      "volume_total_usd": 10261.892166,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "austin rogers",
        "fl-02",
        "florida",
        "primary",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-XX2S4RX2L7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-853NBB6S06",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1885790e53330d4f6eeb823e6c60b57d49bde169866dd826d57ba6bd15f7402e",
      "question": "Will Audie Rowell be the FL-02 Republican nominee?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Audie Rowell: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T23:59:00Z",
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