{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
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  "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8VK0Q6R65",
  "slug": "fl-06-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Republican primary winner in Florida's 6th congressional district be determined by August 18, 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "florida",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026",
    "us-house"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican primary winner for Florida's 6th Congressional District. Polymarket structures the event as 18 parallel binary contracts, one per named candidate or placeholder. Each contract resolves independently via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. Resolution relies on official Republican National Committee confirmation of the nominee following the August 2026 primary.",
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-53HH91R247",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.022
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8VK0Q6R65",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x5cd9ecca6beed85ee91f9558857ced06a887b06de10c7ab9a6af35788bb6f245",
      "question": "Will Candidate D be the Republican nominee for FL-06?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate D: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will confirm which candidate wins the Republican nomination for the referenced congressional district on August 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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      "tags": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-53HH91R247",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8VK0Q6R65",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xfcdd3c3c0b496d86b67f302333ca2bcf80fa5258c1b8d85922907815be7ea3b6",
      "question": "Will Dan Bilzerian be the Republican nominee for FL-06?",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x20bbd9c69c0eff3c9f057df7b98b3acf7ef1c635202234c8594a1e283ee43205",
      "question": "Will Candidate E be the Republican nominee for FL-06?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y5C63KK547",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8VK0Q6R65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1784d6af70111df5708d06cbbb6d97d63c470a81db43b168e65a5ca66d563f00",
      "question": "Will Candidate H be the Republican nominee for FL-06?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate H: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will confirm which candidate wins the Republican nomination for the referenced congressional district on August 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8VK0Q6R65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe791add504ac425e257bb790536e978ea6750ffb00289aa50ec6d8afb3dc6a65",
      "question": "Will Candidate I be the Republican nominee for FL-06?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Candidate I: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will confirm which candidate wins the Republican nomination for the referenced congressional district on August 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-4NB36M7MG2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8VK0Q6R65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd2a7bd6747a943a665cca0008a60199826c6af4a2c7bc5f3b36a3eb124b4808e",
      "question": "Will Alexandra Van Cleef be the Republican nominee for FL-06?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Alexandra Van Cleef: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will confirm which candidate wins the Republican nomination for the referenced congressional district on August 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "score": 56,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-NBTHNK57F2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8VK0Q6R65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x66be8921960aacc7b1cfd714a1cefd62a658dcb11f31430fa3d454b59cdc5a5c",
      "question": "Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Randy Fine: Official Republican Party sources, including the Republican National Committee website, will confirm which candidate wins the Republican nomination for the referenced congressional district on August 18, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source": null,
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.943,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "tags": [
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    {
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-K8VK0Q6R65",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x182c73850bc95b842d9e287c22e529049e1204b559aacd371595bdcaebf6a7dc",
      "question": "Will Candidate A be the Republican nominee for FL-06?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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