{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
  "slug": "fl-09-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "florida",
    "primary",
    "republican-nominee"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for Florida's 9th congressional district House primary, resolving August 18, 2026. All 21 markets are Polymarket binary contracts, each pricing one candidate's nomination probability. Together they form a mutually exclusive set; probabilities should sum to roughly 100%. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing the Republican National Committee's official nominee announcement.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-GH3N9T5W42",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.046,
    "implied_probability": 0.046
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  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9bf0249a2a84da0cbd7367649eb71a1625484d020e4843eaeef3909dad716893",
      "question": "Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the official Republican nominee for Florida's 9th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x6053a4d9b004f2c12e6592f6fb2d066a9aa7aecae295e87e134524ccd8c5ec82",
      "question": "Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the official Republican nominee for Florida's 9th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x15073e709553c34a801a4169cc8c155f4e7098c68d4e2b593d3676c19023a6fb",
      "question": "Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the official Republican nominee for Florida's 9th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.046,
      "implied_probability": 0.046,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 8930.037009999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L5SFYJZS09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe368e5e6be50377d08d2af99c9ad18694aef2f3af9ccbf60b1146302c3ee3da1",
      "question": "Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the official Republican nominee for Florida's 9th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "platform_market_id": "0x9574e09299ee4f86b78eb7645baab88acf6d665858ae7ca50a8299c0e3e75b7a",
      "question": "Will Howard Steven Rance be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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  "_provenance": {
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    "ref": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}