{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
  "slug": "fl-09-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the Republican primary winner be determined for FL-09 by 2026?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "florida",
    "republican-primary",
    "2026",
    "us-house"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee for Florida's 9th congressional district primary, resolving August 18, 2026. Each contract is a binary outcome on a single named candidate winning the nomination. All markets resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, with the Republican National Committee confirmation as the authoritative source. Candidate placeholders suggest the field may not yet be fully declared.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-L5SFYJZS09",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.001,
    "implied_probability": 0.001,
    "as_of": "2026-08-19T22:00:57.004Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6053a4d9b004f2c12e6592f6fb2d066a9aa7aecae295e87e134524ccd8c5ec82",
      "question": "Will Marcus Carter be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marcus Carter: The Republican Party nominee for the FL-09 congressional district, as confirmed by the Republican National Committee and official party sources by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.002,
      "implied_probability": 0.002,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-17T01:00:54.147Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 2954.5837519999995,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L5SFYJZS09",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe368e5e6be50377d08d2af99c9ad18694aef2f3af9ccbf60b1146302c3ee3da1",
      "question": "Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Thomas Chalifoux: The Republican Party nominee for the FL-09 congressional district, as confirmed by the Republican National Committee and official party sources by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "provenance": "platform_api"
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            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
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      "rcg": {
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-BTP2K4FT18",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9bf0249a2a84da0cbd7367649eb71a1625484d020e4843eaeef3909dad716893",
      "question": "Will Jorge Malavet be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Jorge Malavet: The Republican Party nominee for the FL-09 congressional district, as confirmed by the Republican National Committee and official party sources by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-16T01:00:55.283Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-28RSXMHPX8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9574e09299ee4f86b78eb7645baab88acf6d665858ae7ca50a8299c0e3e75b7a",
      "question": "Will Howard Steven Rance be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Howard Steven Rance: The Republican Party nominee for the FL-09 congressional district, as confirmed by the Republican National Committee and official party sources by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-19T22:00:57.004Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 173.26,
      "volume_total_usd": 10668.072379,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GH3N9T5W42",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x15073e709553c34a801a4169cc8c155f4e7098c68d4e2b593d3676c19023a6fb",
      "question": "Will Justin Story be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Justin Story: The Republican Party nominee for the FL-09 congressional district, as confirmed by the Republican National Committee and official party sources by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
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            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-19T22:00:57.004Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 583.35,
      "volume_total_usd": 12108.961828,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-CN4NG22YQ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf2b0c93903a116cc841c2be960d4f5309153d4b93d6901f69a82f34259365770",
      "question": "Will Ben Butler be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Ben Butler: The Republican Party nominee for the FL-09 congressional district, as confirmed by the Republican National Committee and official party sources by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-19T22:00:57.004Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 11653.886501000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 43845.255614,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl 09 republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-PJBXBL0F28",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x016fbba075191c3366e459c5997a8b7253299ede03fd132f12f4fcac0f1e8a20",
      "question": "Will Dan Green be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Dan Green: The Republican Party nominee for the FL-09 congressional district, as confirmed by the Republican National Committee and official party sources by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "rnc.org",
            "url": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "https://www.rnc.org/",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
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        "source_of_record": "rnc.org",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "B",
        "score": 66,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.999,
      "implied_probability": 0.999,
      "price_as_of": "2026-08-19T22:00:57.004Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 14427.601816999995,
      "volume_total_usd": 31519.517456999998,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fl 09 republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YCQWW16G18",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-98VYGBFP77",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x7a97cbf39c31ab569f8bd71e21423b851316cb9b4bcfe7accf29a2897c213e3c",
      "question": "Will Jorge Martinez be the Republican nominee for FL-09?",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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