{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WPXJQDV350",
  "slug": "fl-19-republican-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will Ron DeSantis win the FL-19 Republican Primary?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "2026",
    "florida",
    "republican-primary",
    "us-congress"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the Republican nominee outcome for Florida's 19th congressional district primary, closing August 18, 2026. All legs are binary Polymarket contracts structured as mutually exclusive candidate-specific questions. Probabilities across named candidates and placeholder slots sum to one, forming an implicit full-field probability distribution. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle, referencing the Republican National Committee's official nominee announcement.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-Q5Q0K2L769",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.18,
    "implied_probability": 0.18
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  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WPXJQDV350",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x1529edbafb824abafb135b50229badd58d073215c8f965ede564be9fbd120fe1",
      "question": "Will Madison Cawthorn be the Republican nominee for FL-19?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the Republican Party's nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.041,
      "implied_probability": 0.041,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1922.7129009999996,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WPXJQDV350",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xc6f227829a3374b27ac3cfc8379babe60600bf015cbd46eac792bb5d9151d2be",
      "question": "Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the Republican Party's nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
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      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
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        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 1598.50225,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "platform_market_id": "0x036154c1906c2abd61a65bc585832e0ef8bdc7795cd05b56a1b5bb96c01e3744",
      "question": "Will Jim Oberweis be the Republican nominee for FL-19?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the Republican Party's nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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          "uncommitted_placeholder"
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.16,
      "implied_probability": 0.16,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.113584,
      "volume_total_usd": 4267.875002,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Q5Q0K2L769",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WPXJQDV350",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xf43d99c0b796e0e5226dffa31c71c9fab943e3f79c0182c144eea93dc6b77ae2",
      "question": "Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the Republican Party's nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.rnc.org/",
        "sources": null,
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        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.18,
      "implied_probability": 0.18,
      "volume_24h_usd": 60.19,
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JFR1S9YGJ5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WPXJQDV350",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x84b394439b717ba0df4a8678aab2876a5fb662d4fdc74cf265091bef207d26e7",
      "question": "Will Spencer Roach be the Republican nominee for FL-19?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the Republican Party's nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "last_price": 0.003,
      "implied_probability": 0.003,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
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      "tags": [
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WPXJQDV350",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xc16fade4bbc06895f8e456e1e49c6aa51c1b2dc7f734b3ad8fe8a5900d6a4174",
      "question": "Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Republican National Committee announces the Republican Party's nominee for Florida's 19th congressional district House seat following the August 18, 2026 primary election.",
      "close_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-08-18T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.\n\nIf no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\".\n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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      "direction": null,
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      "tags": [
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-WPXJQDV350",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}