{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
  "slug": "france-united-left-primary-winner",
  "question": "Will the France United Left Primary produce a winner by the settlement date?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "elections",
    "france",
    "2026",
    "primary",
    "left-wing"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 United Left primary selecting a joint nominee for the 2027 French presidential election. Polymarket structures the event as a mutually exclusive set of binary candidate contracts, each resolving via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle. A cancellation market runs in parallel, capturing tail risk of the primary not occurring. Traders should note that placeholder slots signal anticipated late entrants, creating resolution ambiguity if a named candidate withdraws and is substituted.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-3CHNNQGCL4",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.002,
    "implied_probability": 0.002
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  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-82LD1X2H06",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x21b6425a17c08cd0591b06aa70557091efbe42a3a4ee419ee397518db9de3af1",
      "question": "Will Lydie Massard be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Lydie Massard: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.001,
      "implied_probability": 0.001,
      "volume_24h_usd": 351,
      "volume_total_usd": 6527.058732999999,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "france united left"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-3CHNNQGCL4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4978aacddbbb3b70611c7f1fea76a54a698b02a6dbea9ef38275f7e3147868ce",
      "question": "Will Marine Tondelier be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Marine Tondelier: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7122ZZJZH3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x4a8be083c607742c3ab1493d01075009865f5fc8cfbb0563370a8f0bea8cae74",
      "question": "Will the 2026 United Left primary for the 2027 French presidential election be canceled?",
      "description": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Canceled: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
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        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.956,
      "implied_probability": 0.956,
      "volume_24h_usd": 6566.090159,
      "volume_total_usd": 62051.557812,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "france united left"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1SLZSH2688",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbc21484c871750fca2daec460858b85580382f699d2cc7e7f29d1230dc97294d",
      "question": "Will Placeholder C be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder C: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": null,
        "source_of_record": null,
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        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
        "caps": [
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 0,
      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "france united left"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5ZBY9Z7TB5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x50a0ebb759fa27483fa6d61b6c8f48ff22baf453a19a4f6b76695dfcb67c1501",
      "question": "Will Placeholder E be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder E: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VGPNRJP4S9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x289b144855431caf55afffe8655ccfc22ddb23709e64331e53eb91b8a7788f47",
      "question": "Will Placeholder G be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder G: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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        "sources": null,
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      "rcg": {
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        "score": 52,
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "france united left"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-T6ZSMS9BR0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8a1d743980d46bb0069d5065d006720c1e7373343cf4055e998523b958feefa0",
      "question": "Will Placeholder I be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder I: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.\n\nIf no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to \"Other\". \n\nThe resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.\n\nAny replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
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      "rcg": {
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        "applied_factors": 6
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      "settlement_style": "touch",
      "direction": null,
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
        "france united left"
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      "eligibility_screens": null
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P257L39FY7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-WGPTXTJYH0",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x2c739ef56477f7e37257916105ec3c11c77196ce711b5bca2c06be78dc6f6f53",
      "question": "Will Placeholder K be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?",
      "description": "The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.\n\nThis market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.\n\nThis market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "Placeholder K: Resolution per the event's stated source and mechanism (subject supplied per market).",
      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
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      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
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      "contract_type": "binary",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
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      "question": "Will Benjamin Lucas-Lundy be the joint left nominee for the 2027 French presidential election?",
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      "close_at": "2026-10-11T00:00:00Z",
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