{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CT7N1PG31",
  "slug": "ga-12-house-election-winner",
  "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "elections",
    "politics",
    "georgia",
    "house-race",
    "2026",
    "us-midterm"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the Georgia 12th Congressional District House race in November 2026. Polymarket structures the event in two layers: party-level markets price Republican or Democratic victory, while candidate-level markets price individual named contestants. Both layers resolve via Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle against the Federal Election Commission record and an Associated Press race call on November 4, 2026. Traders can hedge or express views at either the partisan or candidate level within the same event.",
  "venues_covered": [
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  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-VMF5KRGK93",
  "current_primary_mark": {
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    "implied_probability": 0.17
  },
  "created_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-06-03T14:52:43.794845+00:00",
  "markets": [
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      "market_id": "CM-MKT-VMF5KRGK93",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-9CT7N1PG31",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xe0cfc4f75bc903d74f5502ffebf8767f38afb11ae6f828798ed3904ba7de8b87",
      "question": "Will the Democratic Party win the GA-12 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Federal Election Commission and Associated Press call of the GA-12 House race results on November 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://www.fec.gov/",
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      "volume_24h_usd": 678.171529,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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        "ga-12",
        "house",
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    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M2GMZML0Z1",
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      "platform_market_id": "0xebe9cbc340bf815f03c029eb1985b866e8727051c587f45f56e5942f6eb5d0d8",
      "question": "Will the Republican Party win the GA-12 House seat?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these p",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "The Federal Election Commission and Associated Press call of the GA-12 House race results on November 4, 2026.",
      "close_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-11-03T00:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.\n\n​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.\n\nThis market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
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        "applied_factors": 7
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      "implied_probability": 0.83,
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      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
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      "question_id": null,
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      "tags": [
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  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-9CT7N1PG31",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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