{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TK6YQSP3L5",
  "slug": "general-mills-q4-organic-net-sales-growth",
  "question": "Will General Mills achieve positive organic net sales growth in Q4?",
  "category": "financials",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "financials",
    "finance",
    "general-mills",
    "earnings",
    "organic-growth",
    "q4-2025"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These six Polymarket markets collectively cover General Mills' fiscal Q4 2026 organic net sales growth across six mutually exclusive rate-level tiers. Each tier is a binary contract; together they span below -3% through above 3% in 1.5-point increments. The authoritative source is General Mills' official earnings release, expected by June 24, 2026. Resolution follows Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle protocol.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-YPDXKGCWL7",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 1,
    "implied_probability": 1
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-WG7KT6P6G7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TK6YQSP3L5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x951a9129bee8ffe553c6ec6dfa766488e06a7188cf2c5671b8d960501df2d154",
      "question": "Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be below -3%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "<-3%: General Mills' organic net sales growth for fiscal Q4 2026, as reported in official earnings materials by June 24, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 1563.0622879999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "below",
      "threshold": -3,
      "question_id": "CMX-88E07478BB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "general mills",
        "general mills q4",
        "organic growth",
        "q4"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7W0HCD6H92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TK6YQSP3L5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x60aaa3fa1799a3e2812227a18e56fb871bad60d05ffef7cbb4b81559b7c0ee04",
      "question": "Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -3% and -1.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "-3%– -1.5%: General Mills' organic net sales growth for fiscal Q4 2026, as reported in official earnings materials by June 24, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 65.75,
      "volume_total_usd": 3416.019534,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": -3,
      "question_id": "CMX-A572FFA621",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "general mills",
        "general mills q4",
        "organic growth",
        "q4"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-2PDK49N2F0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TK6YQSP3L5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x9fe07a679828a42341c045d3d6a6b8620b5e5b9d180926df55ff432dbe21ed62",
      "question": "Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between -1.5% and 0%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "-1.5%–0%: General Mills' organic net sales growth for fiscal Q4 2026, as reported in official earnings materials by June 24, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 2969.1233319999997,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": -1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-A572FFA621",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "general mills",
        "general mills q4",
        "organic growth",
        "q4"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YPDXKGCWL7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TK6YQSP3L5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x42a3de3a6d79c3bbc600798593f2bc6f8686d2c1daef2737ed7c64dbbcaaff6d",
      "question": "Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "0%–1.5%: General Mills' organic net sales growth for fiscal Q4 2026, as reported in official earnings materials by June 24, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 1,
      "implied_probability": 1,
      "volume_24h_usd": 70.14,
      "volume_total_usd": 18688.469917000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 0,
      "question_id": "CMX-A572FFA621",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "general mills",
        "general mills q4",
        "organic growth",
        "q4"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-Y650Y7RCW7",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TK6YQSP3L5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x04e040a85eeb8f318c42974f257a836af23ff8d67236182f08aa0d8af76bc090",
      "question": "Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be between 1.5% and 3%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "1.5%–3%: General Mills' organic net sales growth for fiscal Q4 2026, as reported in official earnings materials by June 24, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 9184.504581,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "between",
      "threshold": 1.5,
      "question_id": "CMX-A572FFA621",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "general mills",
        "general mills q4",
        "organic growth",
        "q4"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-LCH9H8R784",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TK6YQSP3L5",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x3d151e0cedcbb84deea7f6384419850125c858552b46dcdaec844fe33bb7e6b6",
      "question": "Will General Mills Q4 organic net sales growth be above 3%?",
      "description": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specifi",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "3%+: General Mills' organic net sales growth for fiscal Q4 2026, as reported in official earnings materials by June 24, 2026, determines the outcome bracket.",
      "close_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2026-06-24T06:00:00Z",
      "status": "resolved",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve according to General Mills' announced organic net sales growth for the fourth fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials.\n\nThe specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.\n\nIf the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.\n\nIf the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.\n\nIf the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.\n\nThe resolution source for this market is General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used.\n\nNote: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": null,
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "General Mills' official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          },
          {
            "name": "recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "General Mills' official company earnings materials",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 85,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0,
      "implied_probability": 0,
      "volume_24h_usd": 5,
      "volume_total_usd": 1164.0557720000002,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3,
      "question_id": "CMX-A7B4A889FF",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "earnings",
        "general mills",
        "general mills q4",
        "organic growth",
        "q4"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YPDXKGCWL7",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "resolved",
      "outcome": "YES",
      "resolved_at": "2026-07-01T13:50:49Z",
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