{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
  "slug": "gmgn-fdv-above-one-day-after-launch",
  "question": "Will GMGN FDV be above ___ one day after launch?",
  "category": "crypto",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "crypto",
    "token-launch",
    "fdv-valuation",
    "gmgn",
    "2028"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the fully diluted valuation of GMGN's token one day after launch. FDV is calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET on the measurement date. Thirteen strike thresholds span $200M to $4B, forming an implied probability curve across valuation levels. Resolution uses Polymarket's UMA Optimistic Oracle at each discrete strike.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "polymarket"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MHPZSNX3H5",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.42,
    "implied_probability": 0.42
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MHPZSNX3H5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x46f40b14eff736735fae67b5576212cea35f96f44a54451d7cd85ff5cc2fa722",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $200M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$200M: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.42,
      "implied_probability": 0.42,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 19198.67983,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 200000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F9F425768B",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5J7HC4S1K0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbccc29913dccae1de8751a452b27ec8cf24a030fa0c70bcaa7796ec141de3d0c",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $300M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$300M: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.28,
      "implied_probability": 0.28,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 6314.082147999999,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 300000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-811905893D",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-19V9KYPC47",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1334f99e63fa9cecdf6b2c0401c4bb1de5b3a6a4b4dba5be8778d95e37901ac0",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $400M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$400M: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 4478.908563000001,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 400000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-1859C24414",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-P6B1BQQ4W3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5bce315bba6a202b9a946477c9a17fffbee4bf136ce59432a64d5e01fe1840b4",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $500M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$500M: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.25,
      "implied_probability": 0.25,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 611.820229,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-FA89D9A33A",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-L4BYY7JM80",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6a61bcf88dbedc74c92653324a5254c976061fe065ae8fd1258e21109ad4c663",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $600M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$600M: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.17,
      "implied_probability": 0.17,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 231.001537,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 600000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A298C03722",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-GLHKDHTZ84",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x6c54989fb015a1d8f1225410c54d4a2a69650efdd0691c0c9480265aae30891b",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $700M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$700M: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.31,
      "implied_probability": 0.31,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 620.771386,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 700000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-361EC496AD",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-SJ8GLTFSC3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x82c5677413dfb962fd654eb2693ac61bceb879ce59dc35e21815dc8f3c5624cb",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $800M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$800M: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.03,
      "implied_probability": 0.03,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 474.291388,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 800000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2500427114",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-7H4SB6GHN5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x64ab6860ed1f3afbaa5841f56fcc0c9a183138cde87ce45132309350652e4012",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $900M one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$900M: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 534.785944,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 900000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-A61CCF75AB",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-KDXWN6FHK5",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xd8188b8fde5311592520a4a41d3cd9b351147ed10643e15a7bd972306cfa0221",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $1B one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1B: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.22,
      "implied_probability": 0.22,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 747.521866,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-44CCBE8271",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HKJSJWRNJ4",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x5b998903669a1b18ed6a17d2019a342710cdc3e230b62212bd3587416d099eb1",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $1.5B one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$1.5B: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 1500000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-8ABCB9E50E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JQ6XXQFS98",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x1f24cf7575a1596fa6281782da20671eafb6f610d8f474901b8aad24090851ed",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $2B one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$2B: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 2000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-F017B8A96F",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S2K497PQF9",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0xbb3af7b1050a3443c19b288d8f1ff950f917f01973e4c63cc3e8e355b8b85ca5",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $3B one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$3B: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "closed",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": null,
      "implied_probability": null,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": null,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 3000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-B57E2B0C3E",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-YPBHRJG367",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "platform_market_id": "0x8c99ccee1ff42ab12c3411972f5148f00f4bd72aeea6d22e3ed5131185fe4507",
      "question": "GMGN FDV above $4B one day after launch",
      "description": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this mark",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USDC",
      "underlying_reference": "$4B: The listed company's token FDV, calculated as total supply multiplied by price at 4:00 PM ET one calendar day after public launch, resolves via UMA Optimistic Oracle.",
      "close_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "This market will resolve to \"Yes\" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of GMGN's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to \"No.\"\n\nOnly an official token launched by GMGN will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count.\n\nThe token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch.\n\nThe FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.\n\n\"1 day after launch\" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If GMGN (https://x.com/gmgnai) doesn't launch a token by January 1, 2028, 12:00 AM ET, this market will resolve to \"No\".",
        "arbitration_model": "uma_oracle",
        "proposer": "managed_whitelist",
        "source": null,
        "source_status": "no_committed_source",
        "source_citation": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "x.com",
            "url": "https://x.com/gmgnai",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          },
          {
            "name": "x.com/gmgnai",
            "url": null,
            "provenance": "clearmarket_editorial"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": null,
        "source_mechanism": null,
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": null,
        "source_commitment": "uncommitted",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "uncommitted_placeholder",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "C",
        "score": 38,
        "caps": [
          "multi_source_no_conflict_rule",
          "commitment_uncommitted_placeholder"
        ],
        "applied_factors": 7
      },
      "last_price": 0.02,
      "implied_probability": 0.02,
      "volume_24h_usd": null,
      "volume_total_usd": 773.5349359999998,
      "settlement_style": "terminal",
      "direction": "above",
      "threshold": 4000000000,
      "question_id": "CMX-2679F50808",
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "fdv",
        "gmgn",
        "gmgn fdv",
        "launch",
        "token"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HKJSJWRNJ4",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-JQ6XXQFS98",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-S2K497PQF9",
      "platform": "polymarket",
      "event_type": "status_change",
      "outcome": "closed",
      "resolved_at": null,
      "deadline_at": "2028-01-01T05:00:00Z",
      "occurred_basis": "deadline",
      "final_price": null,
      "recorded_at": "2026-08-04",
      "source": "platform_api",
      "source_ref": null
    }
  ],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-CTBRWN0Y50",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}