{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-1CZBBW0SJ9",
  "slug": "govpartyaz-26",
  "question": "Arizona Governor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "arizona-governor",
    "us-elections-2026",
    "political-race",
    "state-executive",
    "2026-midterm"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2027 Arizona gubernatorial election outcome. Kalshi lists both a Democratic and Republican win contract, priced as complementary binary outcomes. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination based on party affiliation and election result. The authoritative close date is November 3, 2027.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-48MXWKVLH2",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.86,
    "implied_probability": 0.86,
    "as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z"
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-48MXWKVLH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1CZBBW0SJ9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYAZ-26-D",
      "question": "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Arizona",
      "description": "Katie Hobbs",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Katie Hobbs: The named candidate's party affiliation and Arizona governorship election outcome will be determined by Kalshi staff based on official state government records, with resolution on January 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.86,
      "implied_probability": 0.86,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 341.162,
      "volume_total_usd": 262721.0302,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "arizona",
        "arizona governor",
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "katie hobbs"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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      "event_id": "CM-EVT-1CZBBW0SJ9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYAZ-26-R",
      "question": "Will the Republican party win the governorship in Arizona",
      "description": "Andy Biggs",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Andy Biggs: The named candidate's party affiliation and Arizona governorship election outcome will be determined by Kalshi staff based on official state government records, with resolution on January 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Arizona pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.\n\nThis market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
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        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.13,
      "implied_probability": 0.13,
      "price_as_of": "2026-09-03T21:00:46.150Z",
      "volume_24h_usd": 104.4537,
      "volume_total_usd": 30771.0884,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
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        "arizona",
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        "governor",
        "republican"
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      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
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          "permitted_category": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-08-12"
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  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-1CZBBW0SJ9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
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}