{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-M8S778DDQ9",
  "slug": "govpartyca-26",
  "question": "California Governor winner? (Party)",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "california-governor",
    "us-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "party-affiliation",
    "executive-office"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the partisan outcome of California's 2027 gubernatorial election. Both are binary Kalshi contracts on the same race, structured as separate Democratic and Republican win questions. Together they function as an implicit probability pair; their sum reveals implied third-party or contingency probability. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination using official state results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-6RS5V1ZBL3",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.934,
    "implied_probability": 0.934
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-6RS5V1ZBL3",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M8S778DDQ9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYCA-26-D",
      "question": "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in California",
      "description": "Democratic party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Democratic party: California's governorship election outcome resolves per Kalshi staff determination using official state government results, by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.934,
      "implied_probability": 0.934,
      "volume_24h_usd": 252.45086000000003,
      "volume_total_usd": 281132.33748,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "california governor election",
        "democratic party",
        "governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-1CJYC7LGH2",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-M8S778DDQ9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYCA-26-R",
      "question": "Will the Republican party win the governorship in California",
      "description": "Republican party",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Republican party: California's governorship election outcome resolves per Kalshi staff determination using official state government results, by January 7, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-07T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of California pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.066,
      "implied_probability": 0.066,
      "volume_24h_usd": 40.9365,
      "volume_total_usd": 55396.77528,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "california",
        "california governor election",
        "governor",
        "republican party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-M8S778DDQ9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}