{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z8JF0KZ5G3",
  "slug": "govpartyil-26",
  "question": "Illinois Governor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "illinois-governor",
    "us-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "executive-office",
    "state-level"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the outcome of the 2026 Illinois gubernatorial election. Kalshi lists both a Democratic and Republican binary contract, structuring the event as two directional outcome questions. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the Illinois Secretary of State's certified results. The two contracts are complementary and should sum to near parity given third-party probability.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-M1VNCHZH18",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.936,
    "implied_probability": 0.936
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-M1VNCHZH18",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z8JF0KZ5G3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYIL-26-D",
      "question": "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Illinois",
      "description": "JB Pritzker",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "JB Pritzker: The Illinois Secretary of State's official election results certify the 2026 gubernatorial winner by January 14, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-14T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Illinois pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.936,
      "implied_probability": 0.936,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 11818.123200000002,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "illinois",
        "illinois governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-5NJ1JTKF92",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-Z8JF0KZ5G3",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYIL-26-R",
      "question": "Will the Republican party win the governorship in Illinois",
      "description": "Darren Bailey",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Darren Bailey: The Illinois Secretary of State's official election results certify the 2026 gubernatorial winner by January 14, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-14T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Illinois pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
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        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.068,
      "implied_probability": 0.068,
      "volume_24h_usd": 1.5374800000000002,
      "volume_total_usd": 715.65308,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "governor",
        "illinois",
        "illinois governor",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-Z8JF0KZ5G3",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}