{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYZ7GGP8S0",
  "slug": "govpartymd-26",
  "question": "Maryland Governor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-gubernatorial-2026",
    "maryland-politics",
    "state-executive",
    "partisan-outcome",
    "electoral-forecast"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2027 Maryland gubernatorial election outcome. Kalshi lists two complementary binary contracts: one pricing a Democratic win, one pricing a Republican win. Both resolve via Kalshi staff determination against the Maryland Secretary of State's official election certification, due by January 18, 2027. The two contracts are near-exhaustive complements; their implied probabilities should sum close to one.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-0LH876TTK1",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.965,
    "implied_probability": 0.965
  },
  "created_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-08-04T20:03:51.865287+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-0LH876TTK1",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYZ7GGP8S0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYMD-26-D",
      "question": "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Maryland",
      "description": "Wes Moore",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Wes Moore: The Maryland Secretary of State's official election certification, due by January 18, 2027, determines which party's candidate won the governorship race.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-18T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Maryland pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.965,
      "implied_probability": 0.965,
      "volume_24h_usd": 836.74,
      "volume_total_usd": 4137.06,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "democratic party",
        "governor",
        "maryland",
        "maryland governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-F4G7FK7R75",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-RYZ7GGP8S0",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYMD-26-R",
      "question": "Will the Republican party win the governorship in Maryland",
      "description": "Dan Cox",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Dan Cox: The Maryland Secretary of State's official election certification, due by January 18, 2027, determines which party's candidate won the governorship race.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-18T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Maryland pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.085,
      "implied_probability": 0.085,
      "volume_24h_usd": 302.62,
      "volume_total_usd": 1256.07,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "governor",
        "maryland",
        "maryland governor",
        "republican party"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": null
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-RYZ7GGP8S0",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}