{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-TNC2QWG2J9",
  "slug": "govpartynv-26",
  "question": "Nevada Governor winner?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "nevada-politics",
    "gubernatorial-election",
    "2027-election",
    "us-state-races",
    "partisan-outcome"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "These markets track the 2027 Nevada gubernatorial election outcome. Both contracts are listed on Kalshi and are structured as binary party-outcome questions, one for each major party. Resolution relies on Kalshi staff determination using Nevada state government official records. The two contracts are complementary and should sum to near par, subject to third-party candidacy risk.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-R0S55LVPJ8",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.61,
    "implied_probability": 0.61
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-06T00:30:45.836226+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-R0S55LVPJ8",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TNC2QWG2J9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYNV-26-D",
      "question": "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Nevada",
      "description": "Aaron Ford",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Aaron Ford: Nevada state government official records will confirm the named candidate's party affiliation and election outcome by January 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Nevada pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.61,
      "implied_probability": 0.61,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 56567.4167,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "aaron ford",
        "democratic",
        "governor",
        "nevada",
        "nevada governor"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-HQ998FRC11",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-TNC2QWG2J9",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYNV-26-R",
      "question": "Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada",
      "description": "Joe Lombardo",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Joe Lombardo: Nevada state government official records will confirm the named candidate's party affiliation and election outcome by January 2, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-02T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Nevada pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.43,
      "implied_probability": 0.43,
      "volume_24h_usd": 139.2727,
      "volume_total_usd": 51280.3853,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "governor",
        "joe lombardo",
        "nevada",
        "nevada governor",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-TNC2QWG2J9",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}