{
  "_notice": {
    "type": "free_key_offer",
    "message": "Free and anonymous access is staying. If this endpoint is in your pipeline, a free key adds advance notice before any schema change or deprecation. POST /v1/keys {\"email\": \"you@firm.com\"} — nothing else required. Something broken or missing? hello@clearmarket.fyi reaches a human.",
    "docs": "https://clearmarket.fyi/for-data/",
    "policy": "This field is additive and its shape will not change."
  },
  "event_id": "CM-EVT-3VJQ7ZL798",
  "slug": "govpartyor-26",
  "question": "Will the Oregon gubernatorial election result be decided by January 9, 2027?",
  "category": "politics",
  "event_type": "BINARY",
  "ladder_distribution": null,
  "tags": [
    "politics",
    "us-gubernatorial-election",
    "oregon-politics",
    "2027-election",
    "governor-race",
    "state-level-politics"
  ],
  "catalyst_types": [],
  "catalyst_dates": [],
  "editorial_notes": "Both markets track the 2027 Oregon gubernatorial election outcome. Kalshi structures the event as two separate binary questions: one pricing a Democratic win, one pricing a Republican win. These are complementary directional contracts; implied probabilities should sum near 100% absent third-party candidacy risk. Resolution follows Kalshi staff determination against official election results.",
  "venues_covered": [
    "kalshi"
  ],
  "primary_market_id": "CM-MKT-MJH0T0CY49",
  "current_primary_mark": {
    "last_price": 0.89,
    "implied_probability": 0.89
  },
  "created_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "updated_at": "2026-07-23T21:11:14.426158+00:00",
  "markets": [
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-MJH0T0CY49",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3VJQ7ZL798",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYOR-26-D",
      "question": "Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Oregon",
      "description": "Tina Kotek",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Tina Kotek: The named candidate's victory or defeat in the referenced election shall be determined by official results from the relevant state government, with resolution by January 9, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-09T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as the governor of Oregon pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
        "source_type": null,
        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
      },
      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
      },
      "last_price": 0.89,
      "implied_probability": 0.89,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0,
      "volume_total_usd": 32465.2242,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "democrat",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "oregon",
        "oregon governor election"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    },
    {
      "market_id": "CM-MKT-40CSN6WPK0",
      "event_id": "CM-EVT-3VJQ7ZL798",
      "platform": "kalshi",
      "platform_market_id": "GOVPARTYOR-26-R",
      "question": "Will the Republican party win the governorship in Oregon",
      "description": "Christine Drazan",
      "contract_type": "binary",
      "settlement_currency": "USD",
      "underlying_reference": "Christine Drazan: The named candidate's victory or defeat in the referenced election shall be determined by official results from the relevant state government, with resolution by January 9, 2027.",
      "close_at": "2027-11-03T15:00:00Z",
      "resolve_at": "2027-01-09T15:00:00Z",
      "status": "open",
      "resolution": {
        "rules_raw": "If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as the governor of Oregon pursuant to the 2026 election, then the market resolves to Yes.",
        "arbitration_model": "kalshi_staff",
        "proposer": "platform_staff",
        "source": "US State Governments",
        "source_status": "platform_named",
        "source_citation": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
        "sources": [
          {
            "name": "US State Governments",
            "url": "https://www.usa.gov/state-governments",
            "provenance": "platform_api"
          }
        ],
        "source_of_record": "US State Governments",
        "source_mechanism": "single_authority",
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        "source_quality": "authoritative",
        "source_commitment": "named",
        "source_commitment_subtype": "named",
        "source_hedge_text": null
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      "rcg": {
        "grade": "A",
        "score": 100,
        "caps": [],
        "applied_factors": 6
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      "last_price": 0.12,
      "implied_probability": 0.12,
      "volume_24h_usd": 0.6,
      "volume_total_usd": 10194.047999999999,
      "settlement_style": "occurrence",
      "direction": "reach",
      "threshold": null,
      "question_id": null,
      "also_on": null,
      "tags": [
        "2024",
        "election",
        "governor",
        "oregon",
        "oregon governor election",
        "republican"
      ],
      "eligibility_screens": [
        {
          "regime": "ciro-26-0076",
          "screen_version": "v1",
          "status": "not_eligible",
          "reasons": [
            "category_not_permitted"
          ],
          "bucket": null,
          "screened_at": "2026-06-12"
        }
      ]
    }
  ],
  "resolution_log": [],
  "_provenance": {
    "source": "clearmarket.fyi",
    "ref": "CM-EVT-3VJQ7ZL798",
    "terms": "Attribution required. clearmarket.fyi"
  }
}